The outcome of the remaining races will either accelerate or hinder the next president’s chances of confirming his legislative agenda and judicial and Cabinet nominations. The importance of controlling the room was laid bare during President Biden’s term: Kamala Harris broke the century-old record for the most tie-breaking votes Appointed by a vice president in the Senate, occasionally pressured important pieces of legislation above the line.

This Election Day, 34 Senate seats are up for electionincluding multiple open races. The six Senate seats currently held by Democrats are considered “solid” or “weak” Republican or “toss up.” According to the Cook Political Report. None of the seats currently held by Republicans are considered to be contested or competitive.

Follow live results from six Senate races that will help determine which party controls the upper chamber.

Kyrsten Sinema, who was elected as a Democrat and later became an independent and caucused with Democrats, announced in March. will not run for re-electionkicks off Senate race in Arizona, a battleground this election cycle Mostly voted Republican In presidential elections over the last 50 years.

The state’s former gubernatorial candidate, Republican Kari Lake, and Democratic Representative Ruben Gallego engaged in a tight fight for the seat. Cook Political Report rates the race as “weak Democratic” and FiveThirtyEight’s average rating He improves Gallego by about four percentage points.

Lake is a former television anchor who has never acknowledged losing the 2022 Arizona gubernatorial race. launched unsuccessful legal challenges To appeal the results. He is a staunch ally of Trump who supports his false claims of election fraud. Gallego, one Harvard graduateHe served in the Marine Corps and was deployed to Iraq. He was first elected to Parliament in 2014.

Democratic Rep. Elissa Slotkin and former Republican Rep. Mike Rogers are running for the open Michigan Senate seat. Senator Debbie Stabenow’s retirement.

The race is competitive: The Cook Political Report rates it as a “toss-up.” FiveThirtyEight’s average rating It shows Slotkin leading by 3.6 percentage points.

Rogers, a Former House Intelligence Committee Chairmanit had happened from time to time criticized Trumpcalled his leadership style “chaotic” and said he was responsible for the attack on the Capitol on January 6, but Trump endorses Rogers In the Senate primary race. Slotkin, a former CIA intelligence analyst endorsed by former Republican representative Liz Cheney.

Democratic Senator Jon Tester He is perhaps the incumbent senator most at risk of re-election. facing a challenge Tim SheehyHe is a Republican and a wealthy businessman.

The Cook Political Report rates the contest as “weakly Republican.” Testers’ path: seven points In FiveThirtyEight’s poll average. And Trump is expected to carry the state; HE Nearly 18 points ahead of Harris In FiveThirtyEight’s poll average.

Tester is a three-term senator and third-generation land farmer who was first elected to the position in 2006. Sheehy, a 38-year-old former Navy SEAL and founder of an aerial firefighting company, has been endorsed by Trump. He was put under scrutiny for giving conflicting reports He described how he suffered a gunshot wound to his arm and made derogatory remarks about Native Americans last year.

Four-time incumbent Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown faces a stiff challenge from Republican candidate Bernie Moreno of Ohio, who ran for Trump in 2016 and 2020.

Cook Political Report rates the race as a “heads” and FiveThirtyEight’s average rating Moreno leads Brown by less than a percentage point.

Moreno, a Colombian immigrant and wealthy businessman, Millions of his own money entered the race and sought to elect Brown as a career politician aligned with Biden and Harris. Brown emphasized Moreno’s stance on abortion: a comment he made questions why abortion rights might be an issue for women over 50.

Three-term incumbent Senator Bob Casey Jr. Facing a challenge in case of swing Former Pennsylvania hedge fund CEO David McCormick, a Republican, also ran in 2022, but His primary race was Dr. He lost it to Mehmet ÖzHe lost to Democratic Senator John Fetterman.

According to the Cook Political Report, the race is a “toss up” and FiveThirtyEight’s average rating Casey leads by 2.8 percentage points.

Casey is the son of former Pennsylvania governor Bob Casey Sr. McCormick has portrayed him as a career politician who supports liberal policies on abortion and climate issues. Casey targeted McCormick “Carpetbagger” for ties to Connecticut.

Senator Joe Manchin, a Democrat who became an independent, will not seek re-election This past November, it was anything but a guarantee that the seat would fall to Republicans in deep-red West Virginia. And on Tuesday, Republican Governor Jim Justice was predicted to be defeated Democrat Glenn Elliott, former mayor of Wheeling W.Va..

IT it was Seat likely to fall under Republican control: Seat according to Cook Political Report it was “solid” Republican.

Justice, one former billionaire He was elected governor as a Democrat before switching parties months later. declared himself the winner He’s in the Senate race with more than a month until the election. Elliott is a lawyer who once practiced law. legislative assistant He thanked the late senator Robert Byrd and campaigned on supporting abortion rights, supporting unions and improving veterans’ access to health care.

Democratic Sen. Tammy Baldwin hopes to fend off a challenge Trump-backed millionaire Republican Eric Hovdea former banking executive for a Wisconsin Senate seat.

Cook Political Report rates the race as a “heads” and FiveThirtyEight’s average rating It shows Baldwin ahead by just over two percentage points.

Baldwin, first openly LGBTQ+ senator in historyHe was first elected to the seat in 2012 after serving more than a decade in the House of Representatives. Who is Hovde? I ran for the seat in 2012 but he lost the Republican primary and invested millions of his own money in the race. Hovde has it. Targeted Baldwin’s relationship with his girlfriend In campaign ads, Baldwin criticized the attacks as an attempt to distract.

Amanda Kaufman can be reached at [email protected]. follow him @amandakauf1.