Thursday, October 31, 2024

As Election Day approaches, former President Donald Trump is leading in the battleground states of Georgia and Arizona, while Vice President Kamala Harris remains ahead in New Mexico.

A new telephone and online survey by Rasmussen Reports and American Thinker If the election were held today, 51 percent of Georgia voters would likely vote for Trump and 46 percent would vote for Harris. Two percent (2%) say they will vote for another candidate, while the other two percent (2%) are still undecided. Inside 2020President Joe Biden narrowly defeated Trump in Georgia. (Click here to see the text of the survey question.)

Trump holds a two-point lead in Arizona; She gets 48% of the vote to Harris’ 46%; Three percent (3%) favor another candidate and five percent (5%) are undecided. Meanwhile, in New Mexico, where Biden won by a double-digit margin 2020Harris currently leads by five points, with 49% to Trump’s 44%. Four percent (4%) of New Mexico voters will vote for another candidate, while two percent (2%) remain undecided.

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749 New Mexico Likely Voters surveys were conducted October 24-26, 910 Georgia Likely Voters surveys were conducted October 25-28, and 803 Arizona Likely Voters surveys were conducted October 25-29, 2024. Rasmussen Reports and the American Thinker. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% confidence level. Field studies for all Rasmussen Reports surveys are conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. To see methodology.

Voters in all three states rank the three most important issues in the same order; At the top of the list is the economy (ranked first with 39 percent).

Georgia, 33% in Arizona and 27% in New Mexico), followed by border security (23% in Arizona, 21% in Georgia and 18% in New Mexico) and abortion (16% in Arizona and New Mexico). , followed by 13% in Georgia). ).

“As to whether the flow of illegal aliens across the southern border constitutes an ‘invasion,’ majorities in all three states agree that the explanation is correct (62% in Georgia, 57% in Arizona, and 52% in New Mexico),” he said . Andrea Widburg, editor-in-chief of American Thinker. “Majorities in every state strongly or somewhat support using the U.S. military or National Guard to stop the influx of illegal aliens (66% in Georgia, 60% in Arizona, and 55% in New Mexico). A majority of respondents in all three states blame Biden for illegal immigration (28% in Georgia, 30% in Arizona and 28% in New Mexico).

Among other findings from Rasmussen Reports/American Thinker’s survey of Georgia, Arizona and New Mexico voters:

– Democrats are leading in the US Senate elections in Arizona and New Mexico. Democrat Ruben Gallego holds a four-point lead in Arizona, with Republican Kari Lake 48% to 44%; Four percent (4%) of Arizona voters prefer another Senate candidate and five percent (5%) are undecided. In New Mexico, incumbent Democratic Sen. Martin Heinrich holds a nine-point lead over his Republican opponent, Nella Domenici, 50% to 41%.

– In the battle for control of the U.S. House of Representatives, Republicans have a four-point lead over Democrats in Arizona on the so-called “wide ballot” question (48% to 44%), while the GOP’s lead in Georgia is just one point (47% to 46%) ). In New Mexico, Democrats lead by five points (49% to 44%).

– In Arizona, the “gender gap” in the presidential election reached a net eight points; Here, Trump has a six-point lead among men (50% to Harris’ 44%), while Harris has a two-point lead among female voters (49% to Trump’s 47%). ). In Georgia, the gender gap is 19 points; Trump leads by 16 points among men (56% to Harris’ 40%), while Harris has a three-point lead among female voters (49% to Trump’s 46%). In New Mexico, the gender gap is as large as 30 points; Trump leads by 10 points among men (51% to Harris’ 41%), while Harris leads by 20 points among women (57% to Trump’s 37%).

In Arizona, 53 percent of whites, 22 percent of black voters, 38 percent of Hispanics and 60 percent of other minorities voted for Trump, while 43 percent of whites, 66 percent of black voters and 58 percent of Hispanics voted for Trump. and 30 percent of other minorities will vote for Trump. other minorities would vote for Harris.

– In Georgia, 66% of whites, 18% of black voters and 52% of other minorities voted for Trump, while 31% of whites, 75% of black voters and 46% of other minorities voted for Harris. will vote for.

– In New Mexico, 47% of whites, 59% of black voters, 53% of Hispanics and 46% of other minorities voted for Harris, while 46% of whites, 41% of black voters, and 46% of Hispanics voted for Harris. 40% and 50% of other minorities vote for Harris. The majority of other minorities will vote for Trump.

Harris has a three-point lead over Trump in Minnesota, but the presidential race is nearly tied in New Hampshire.

The vast majority of voters think this year’s presidential election is important, and many will be angry if their candidate does not win.

Additional information and the full demographic breakdown from this survey are publicly available. Platinum Members.

Additional information and the full demographic breakdown from this survey are publicly available. Platinum Members.

Additional information and the full demographic breakdown from this survey are publicly available. Platinum Members.

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