Vice President Kamala Harris He continues to hold a large lead in voting in Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District, which could give the Democratic presidential candidate a significant Electoral College vote on his way to 270 votes.

A. New York Times/Siena’s poll released Monday showed Harris with a 12-point lead over the former President Donald TrumpHe is the Republican candidate in a key battleground district that yields one electoral vote due to Nebraska’s vote-splitting method.

Harris has 53 percent of voters, while 41 percent support Trump. This marks his strongest performance in the region since he entered the race, with previous polls showing him ahead between 5 percent and 11 percent.

news week He contacted the Harris and Trump campaigns via email for comment.

Nebraska for a long time Republican It’s a strong presence in presidential elections, but the 2nd District electoral vote has twice gone to the Democratic candidate—Barack Obama in 2008 and Joe Biden In 2020.

The district, which includes the state’s largest city, Omaha, is one of the few cities in the country that provides a single electoral vote based on the popular vote in the district, making it a key target for both parties. It became especially important for Harris. It is the most urban and by far the most Democratic-leaning district in the state.

In 2020, Trump won Nebraska by 19 points, securing 58 percent of the vote in the state to Biden’s 39 percent.

Trump won 91 of Nebraska’s 93 counties. One of the two supporting Biden was Douglas County, which is in the 2nd Congressional District, which includes Omaha, and makes up 29 percent of the state’s population.

Harris and Democratic groups have spent more than $5 million in the district since Harris entered the race on July 23, while Trump’s campaign has spent just $200,000 there, according to media tracking firm AdImpact.

For Nebraska’s 2nd District to break the tiebreaker in the race to win the 270 total Electoral College votes, Harris will likely need to win all Democratic-leaning states and three northern battleground states: Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. That would give him 270 votes.

In this scenario, if Trump wins all Republican-leaning states, as well as southern swing states like Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and North Carolina, as well as Maine’s 2nd Congressional District, he could lose the election by 268 delegate votes.

New York TimesThe /Siena survey was conducted between 23 and 26 October. It polled 500 likely voters in Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District and had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.8 percentage points.