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When will Nick Chubb be Nick Chubb again? (Video)
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When will Nick Chubb be Nick Chubb again? (Video)

Changing perspectives and changing roles are the main themes of this week’s make-or-break list. As we approach the end of the fantasy season, we feel like we know the majority of the players and what we can expect from them going forward. But it’s not always as clear-cut as you might think, and matches aren’t the only problem. Sometimes we need to adjust our expectations of players and offenses going forward to truly understand their potential, or lack thereof.

I don’t often include quarterbacks, but Bo Nix was in the make or break column last week. I highlighted his potential upside in a surprisingly positive matchup against the Kansas City Chiefs, and he served as our QB12 of the week. This week I want to discuss Maye with a similar thought process; I think Maye can still thrive even in a less-than-ideal matchup.

When Maye took over as the official starter in Week 6, it was complicated but highly productive from a fantasy standpoint. He finished as QB8 against Houston and QB7 against Jacksonville. Since then, Maye has had rookie troubles. To be fair, those struggles came against very tough pass defenses, including the New York Jets, Tennessee Titans and Chicago Bears, and the Jets game was the week he missed most of the game due to injury.

All things considered, Maye was solid. Although his passing was inconsistent, his rushing ability provided reliable footing. He faces a promising matchup this week against the LA Rams.

The Rams’ defense, especially their secondary, is weak, but their pass rush has improved as the season has progressed. The coaches invested heavily in young talent, and although it took time for them to adjust to the NFL and find their groove, they have now become a more aggressive passing unit. A young, aggressive offense against a shaky offensive line could spell trouble and Maye might not have the time he needs to take full advantage of the secondary.

However, if Maye has to come out of the pocket, that bodes well for his meteoric rise. While the Rams’ defensive line makes this a tough matchup, Maye still offers strong upside as a release option, especially for fantasy teams that need to take risks and get wins.

I do live Q&As every week on Yahoo’s social channels, and this week during my Tuesday livestream I came across a very timely question: When will Nick Chubb be on? Nick Chubb?

Fantasy executives welcomed Chubb with open arms in Week 7. Remembering the good old days, we always knew what to expect from Nick Chubb: a heavy workload, high yardage, strong yards per carry and touchdowns. Although expectations were diminished after a serious injury, Chubb’s return proved fruitless in terms of fantasy. Some of this can be attributed to the overall struggles of Cleveland’s offense, but the numbers tell a clear story: Chubb has yet to surpass 52 rushing yards, has just one touchdown, is averaging 2.69 yards per carry, and doesn’t have any receiving advantage. He failed to reach double-digit fantasy points in half PPR.

To be fair, their last two games were against Baltimore and the LA Chargers. The Chargers were consistently strong against the run, and the Ravens stopped the run all season long. In fact, Chubb’s 52 yards were his most against the Ravens this season.

Despite these challenges, fantasy managers remain optimistic that Chubb can return to his former form in the case of the perfect matchup. This week offers strong potential.

Although his snap count wasn’t great, Chubb excelled in touches out of the backfield. The opportunity is there; It’s just a matter of whether he can capitalize on it in a perfect matchup. This week, he faces a Saints defense that has been on fire at running back this season, allowing the third-most fantasy points at the position. It’s also important to note that high-level abilities are not required to increase these scores. Sean Tucker’s one-week wonder and Javonte Williams’ only RB1 performance came against New Orleans. This is the perfect matchup for Chubb to deliver his breakthrough performance of the season.

The tide is turning in Denver, and it’s definitely not turning in favor of the aforementioned Javonte Williams. The Broncos have made no secret of their intentions when discussing Estimé recently, saying his workload will increase as the season progresses. Many expected a gradual increase, but Sean Payton surprised everyone in Week 10 by completely turning over Denver’s backfield. Estimé had 14 carries for 53 yards, while Williams had just one carry for one yard and Jaleel McLaughlin had four carries for 12 yards. Estimé’s snap count wasn’t very high, but he quickly outpaced Williams.

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While Estimé was not targeted in the passing game, Williams appeared to be the preferred option with two receptions on two targets. While not a lot, it’s something to watch as Estimé will need some positive developments to become a reliable RB2. But there is also a positive sign: Estimé has run a similar number of routes as Williams, so we may see his game improve as the season progresses.

This week’s match is risky. The Falcons add bulk to running backs, but rushing touchdowns have been rare; Only Kenneth Walker III and Alvin Kamara scored rushing goals against them. Estimé is an extremely risky play, though it sees good volume, with no touchdown potential and limited returns.

There’s also the question of whether we can really trust Sean Payton. This wouldn’t be the first time a running back saw a sudden increase in carries only for Payton to change things up the following week. I believe Estimé has a real chance to retain the lead role, but I think we need another week before we can really trust anyone in the Broncos’ running game.

Gus Edwards is back and fantasy managers now face a tough situation in the Chargers’ backfield. Between weeks 6 and 9, when Edwards was on IR, Dobbins was the clear frontrunner. Meanwhile, Dobbins ranked as the RB13 in half-PPR and averaged 15.9 fantasy points per game with two top-12 finishes. Edwards’ return significantly reduced Dobbins’ volume. He had just 15 carries for 50 yards and three receptions for five yards, compared to Edwards’ 10 carries for 55 yards.

Although his performance hasn’t been very impressive from a fantasy perspective, Dobbins still has upside in this backfield and should continue to see the majority of carries. Edwards doesn’t contribute to the passing game, and Dobbins has seen goal-line opportunities when both are healthy, so there’s no reason to expect Dobbins to be moved out of the backfield as the Chargers approach the end zone.

While Dobbins’ volume is at risk, the Chargers have a favorable matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals with an expected point total of 47.5. This matchup should favor Dobbins, but with Edwards back, Dobbins has entered make-or-break territory. However, his positive results and advantageous Week 11 match are somewhat in his favor.

I discussed DJ Moore in my speech. Market Pulse Check articleso it should come as no surprise that he’s definitely a make or break actor – emphasis on break. Let’s not bury the lead here: Chicago’s pass catchers are generally unreliable.

We gave the Chicago offense the benefit of the doubt and were optimistic ahead of their bye week, where they face positive matchups that will allow Caleb Williams to thrive. Reality has set in again, and over the last three weeks Moore has failed to surpass five fantasy points in semi-PPR formats, with his best finish being WR55. We are in a very difficult situation with Moore; While Rome Odunze continued to pop up in Chicago’s receiving corps, his target share was lackluster and inconsistent.

This offense is unlikely to be fantasy efficient when each receiver gets a fairly equal share of targets. Positive changes may be coming as the Bears rightfully fired Shane Waldron. So could firing Waldron really solve his offensive problems?

It doesn’t seem likely. While Waldron’s vision is flawed, Chicago’s offensive line continues to struggle, limiting Williams’ effectiveness. At this point, Moore is an up-and-down player, and a “breakout” seems like a rare occurrence. This week he faces a Packers defense that is a turnover machine and relatively strong against the pass. Moore is off to a very risky start this week and moving forward.