The 12-team College Football Playoff continues to give us win-win, lose-and-go-home spectacle in the SEC. When the Georgia Bulldogs face the Mississippi Rebels this weekend, the winner can assume they’ll advance to the postseason, while the loser’s hopes should be completely dashed.

These risks could determine this game as much as my Georgia-Mississippi predictions and other trends for free. college football picks The bet is on Bulldogs head coach Kirby Smart’s desire to slow the game down. This won’t lead to too many fireworks Saturday afternoon after it kicks off at 3:30 p.m. ET on ABC.

Georgia vs Mississippi prediction and best bet

my best bet
below 55.5 (-110 at BetMGM)
Selections made at the time of writing may not reflect live odds.

my analysis
Last offseason, mississippi The NIL spent its budget heavily on defenders and it paid off. The Rebels’ defense ranks 6th in the nation in expected points (EPA) added per snap. According to cfb charts from collegefootballinsiders.comand number 7 current SP+ ratings. It would be wrong to say that Mississippi is now a defense-oriented team. His offense is better on both ends, but Lane Kiffin has quality on both sides of the ball for the first time.

Most importantly, the Rebels don’t give up on explosive attacks. This is appropriate because explosive attacks have become a necessity in Georgia. Bulldogs don’t run relatively often; They run 6.6% less than the average team would in a given game situation, the 10th-lowest rate in the country. And when they do, they often fail, staying ahead of the chains in just 44.1% of runs, 59th in the country.

However, Georgia achieves great success when she realizes that success comes quickly. The Bulldogs rank 7th in EPA per rush. Now quickly combine these thoughts: The Bulldogs rank 59th in rushing success rate, but 7th in EPA per rush. This combination shows Georgia’s explosive power.

Now if Mississippi’s defense is going to limit that, that alone might be reason enough to pull this off.

But fortunately, the other side of the ball also underlines this expectation. Put aside every ounce of Kirby Smart’s choices for a game dominated by defense and Georgia’s He put on a show in Texas three weeks ago, holding the Longhorns to just 15 points. The Longhorns’ offense is similar to the Rebels’ in terms of run/pass split and is much better when in scoring range. Still, the Bulldogs kept the situation under control.

It’s not a stretch to ask Georgia to do it again, and given the stakes of this game, there’s no doubt that’s Smart’s intention.

Georgia vs Mississippi same game match (SGP)

below 55.5

Georgia -2.5

Trevor Etienne can score at any time

In a moment of dual postseason bets, who would you rather trust: Kirby Smart or Lane Kiffin? This should be a pretty quick decision.

Georgia running back Trevor Etienne has scored at least one touchdown in four of his last five games. Exception? In last week’s loss to Florida and resting this weekend to get fresher, he had his least work in two months, throwing just seven shots.

The Bulldogs’ warning against Etienne last week should help his case in Oxford.

Learn how to bet on the same game with these helpful tips and strategies.

Georgia-Mississippi betting odds

Georgia-Mississippi live betting odds

Georgia-Mississippi opening odds

• Difference between Georgia and Mississippi:Mississippi -3.5
• Georgia vs. mississippi money line: Georgia -145, Mississippi +120
• Georgia vs. Mississippi Over/Under: 54.5

Rates courtesy BetMGM

Georgia – Mississippi match difference and Over/Under analysis

• Georgia was a 6.5-point favorite in this matchup in the summer, and that number reopened at just -3 on Sunday. Difference? For the most part, the Bulldogs’ performance was a few ticks below what was expected in the preseason.
• This week’s movement stopped on Sunday evening. This difference fell to -2.5 by the weekend and did not move during the week.
• The daylight saving time difference of 54.5 did not need to be adjusted this week, with Sunday’s opens reaching the market at 54.5 and the week not moving until late on Thursday.

Knowing the Georgia vs Mississippi betting trend

12 of the 17 matches played by one of these teams this season went to Under. find more college football betting trends For Georgia vs Mississippi.

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