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    • See the path and patterns that could become Hurricane Sara
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    See the path and patterns that could become Hurricane Sara

    Harry Posted on

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    Tropical Depression Nineteen formed in Caribbean Sea, report says National Hurricane CenterThe system is expected to become a tropical storm on Thursday and may even Hurricane Sara will happen next week.

    As of Thursday morning, the system was located about 250 miles east of Guanaja, one of Honduras’ Gulf Islands in the Caribbean Sea. The hurricane center said the depression is moving westward and that movement should continue through Thursday, crossing the western Caribbean Sea.

    Maximum sustained winds as of Thursday morning for Tropical Depression Nineteen were around 35 mph, with higher gusts, and could continue to strengthen if it stays afloat, forecasters said.

    “The depression is expected to stall near the northern coast of Honduras late Friday and through the weekend,” NHC forecasters said Thursday. he said.

    Northern Honduras is expected to get 10 to 20 inches, with isolated storm totals around 30 inches.

    These rains “will lead to life-threatening and potentially devastating flooding and landslides, especially along and near the Sierra La Esperanza,” the NHC said in a statement Thursday.

    The rest of Honduras, along with Belize, El Salvador, eastern Guatemala and western Nicaragua, could see rainfall totals between 5 and 10 inches by early next week, with local totals around 15 inches, according to the hurricane center.

    Weather: Large amounts of snow reported across the West as another storm approaches

    Will Hurricane Sara occur? Will it affect Florida?

    Some forecast models say the storm, to be called Sara, will have wind speeds exceeding 181 mph and bring catastrophic flooding and storm watches to Central America by this weekend. Five hurricanes have already made landfall on the Gulf Coast this hurricane season.

    “If the current tropical depression intensifies and hits as predicted, it would be the fourth hurricane to hit Florida this season.” AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dave Houk said Thursday morning. “If so, this would surpass the record of three landfalls in one season set in 2004.”

    The storm’s interaction with other weather conditions in Central America and the surrounding area will determine the system’s ultimate intensity and destination. The hurricane center noted that average forecast track uncertainty is greater than normal because the system is still forming without a well-defined center.

    Tropical Depression Nineteen path tracer

    Tropical Depression Nineteen spaghetti model

    Illustrations include a range of estimators and models, and not all are created equal. The hurricane center uses only the top four or five highest-performing models to help it make its forecasts.

    Gabe Hauari is a national trending news reporter for USA TODAY. You can follow him on X @GabeHauari or email him at [email protected].

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