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See the storm’s path, spaghetti patterns
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See the storm’s path, spaghetti patterns

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Rafael weakened on Saturday and is expected to remain a tropical storm in the central Gulf of Mexico from Sunday into Monday. National Hurricane Center (NHC) announced.

By Saturday morning, the storm was about 290 miles from Progreso, Mexico, the agency said. The NHC said Rafael was moving northwest at six miles per hour.

The NHC said Tropical Storm Rafael had maximum sustained winds of 50 mph.

Forecasters continue to monitor the storm as it dissipates. The NHC said waves generated by Rafael will continue to impact parts of the northern and western Gulf Coast. This is expected to continue through the weekend, the NHC said. These swells will likely “cause life-threatening surf and disrupt existing conditions,” the agency said.

The NHC said no coastal watch or warning is in effect.

Tropical Storm Rafael tracker

This forecast tracker shows the most likely path to the center of the storm. It does not show the full width of the storm or its effects, and the center of the storm is likely to move outside the cone up to 33% of the time.

Tropical Storm Rafael spaghetti models

Illustrations include a range of estimators and models, and not all are created equal. The hurricane center uses only the top four or five highest-performing models to help it make its forecasts.

Ahjané Forbes is a reporter on USA TODAY’s National Trends Team. Ahjané covers breaking news, car recalls, crimes, food recalls, health, lottery and public policy stories. Email him/her [email protected]. follow him instagram, Topics And X (Twitter) @forbesfineest.