The UCLA Bruins are trying to overcome a difficult first season in the Big Ten with back-to-back wins, but No. 3 will be tough.

The Bruins are nearly a touchdown underdog tonight as the Iowa Hawkeyes fly west for Friday night’s matchup in California. And this isn’t your brother’s Hawkeyes team, winning three of its last four games and scoring 40 or more points.

Mine Iowa and UCLA predictions Let’s say this is where the defense we know and love will shine and I find a player support that will highlight my talents. college football picks For this Big Ten battle.

Kickoff will be at 21:00 at the Rose Bowl in Pasadena, where the game will be broadcast on FOX.

Who will win the Iowa-UCLA match?

Iowa The Hawkeyes are a more complete team from top to bottom. While Iowa’s defense will stifle the one-dimensional UCLA offense, the Bruins defense will have no answer for the Hawkeyes offense, which suddenly scores at running back. Kaleb Johnson.

Johnson burst onto the scene for the Hawkeyes and not only looks like the best rusher in the country not named Ashton Jeanty, but he’s rushing for 1,279 total yards at 7.5 yards per carry. UCLA ranks 111th in the country in success rate against the rush, so good luck slowing him down. He will be the key to the Hawkeyes’ win tonight.

Iowa-UCLA forecast

my best bet
Ethan Garbers less than 225.5 passing yards (-115 at BetMGM)
Selections made at the time of writing may not reflect live odds.

my analysis

It’s been a bad start to the season UCLA Bruinsbut they managed to end their five-game losing streak with back-to-back wins against Rutgers and Nebraska.

Unfortunately for Bruins fans, I expect a regression to the home team’s average on Friday night. Win aside, the Bruins’ offense is terrible and they will now have to deal with a tough situation. Iowa Hawkeyes defense.

UCLA enters this Big Ten matchup ranked 111th in offensive success rate and 123rd in opponent yards. The Bruins aren’t getting anything out of the running game right now either, and being one-dimensional against the Hawkeyes is never a good thing.

That means quarterback Ethan Garbers needs to step up, and so far he’s only sort of been able to do that. The veteran signal-caller has had some good games this season, but has been incredibly inconsistent and struggled against teams that play good defense.

Overall, Garber threw for 1,703 yards on just 7.8 yards per attempt with 10 touchdowns and nine interceptions. But when you look at games against Indiana, Oregon and Nebraska, Garbers averaged 158 yards per game with two touchdowns and three picks.

Now he will face a very good Iowa pass defense. The Hawkeyes enter this game as winners of three of their last four games, and while a lot of pressure is being put on the offense (because it’s shocking how many points the Hawkeyes can score these days), the defense continues to do its job, doing what it can. Opponents scored 16 points or fewer in each of those three wins.

Iowa enters this game ranked 12th in opponent EPA per dropback and 40th in defensive success rate on dropbacks. The Hawkeyes are allowing just 203.4 passing yards per game and Garbers’ passing yards are at 225.5.

Iowa has allowed just one opposing quarterback to surpass that number in six conference games so far this season. I’m betting Garbers won’t be second.

Iowa and UCLA same-game matchup (SGP)

UCLA team total under 17.5

Iowa -6.5

Jacob Gill always TD

Ethan Garbers’ passing yardage isn’t a viable boost for SGP, so let’s extrapolate that a bit and get under the team total with UCLA.

In Iowa’s four Big Ten wins this season, they have held opponents to 16 points or fewer. Before this two-game losing streak, UCLA had scored just 17 points or fewer in six straight games.

Now let’s consider the Hawkeyes against the spread. I don’t believe the Bruins suddenly figured this out with wins over Nebraska and Rutgers. UCLA ranks 111th in offensive success rate and 118th in defensive success rate and is competing against an Iowa team that has one of the best defenses in the Big Ten.

Although UCLA is bad at defending the run, it may be even worse against the pass; It ranks 119th in success rate against dropbacks. Brandon Sullivan is making a fresh start at quarterback for the Hawkeyes, and his favorite target appears to be Jacob Gill.

Gill is Iowa’s second-leading receiver with 21 catches for 198 yards and two scores, including last week against Wisconsin (which isn’t saying much). This time, let’s take him to find the end zone again.

Learn how to bet on the same game with these helpful tips and strategies.

Iowa-UCLA betting odds

Iowa-UCLA live betting odds

Iowa-UCLA opening odds

• Difference between Iowa and UCLA: UCLA +5.5
• Iowa and UCLA moneyline: Iowa -205, UCLA +170
• Iowa vs. UCLA Over/Under: 45.5

Rates courtesy BetMGM

Difference and Over/Under analysis between Iowa and UCLA

• UCLA opened this Big Ten matchup as a 5.5-point underdog at home, but that wasn’t enough for the Bruins to see action as the line moved in favor of Iowa and currently sits at 6.5.
• Despite the difficult season, UCLA exceeded oddsmakers’ expectations and closed the gap in five of the last six games.
• The total rose to 45.5, with a slight decrease at 44.5 as of Friday morning.
• Iowa’s unexpected offensive breakthrough has the Hawkeyes becoming one of the best Overs teams in the country this season, going 8-1 O/U.
• According to us Includes consensus In the tool, 64% of users choose the Hawkeyes to cover the spread, while 63% of users expect the game to go above 45.5 points.

Knowing the Iowa and UCLA betting trend

UCLA has reached the 1H Moneyline in just four of its last 12 games with -9.40 Units and -46% ROI. find more college football betting trends The game between Iowa and UCLA.

Iowa-UCLA match information

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Iowa-UCLA weather

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