For the second year in a row, climate Scientists ‘almost certain’ 2024 will be a record warm year Soil.

The European Union’s Copernicus Climate Change Service It was announced that October was the second warmest October globally after last year, with October being about 0.8 degrees Celsius (1.44 degrees Fahrenheit) above the 30-year average. These averages are based on the ERA5 dataset using billions of measurements performed. spacecraftships, planes and weather stations around the world.

Average global average in the last 10 months heat the anomaly occurred 0.71 degrees Celsius (1.28 Fahrenheit) above the 30-year average; This is the highest level recorded during this period.

Copernicus said October almost sealed the deal that 2024 would be the hottest year in history. In order not to break this climate record, there should be no above-average temperatures worldwide for the rest of the year.

A beautiful sunset and clear blue skies over Krakow’s UNESCO Market Square as Southern Poland and Krakow experience a heatwave this week in Krakow, Lesser Poland Voivodeship, Poland, with temperatures expected to exceed 30 degrees Celsius on August 28, 2024. (Photo: Artur Widak/NurPhoto via Getty Images)

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The latest climate data comes as the 2024 United Nations Climate Change Conference, or COP29, is scheduled to begin in Baku, Azerbaijan, on Monday.

“Beyond 10 months into 2024, it is almost certain that 2024 will be the warmest year on record and the first year to exceed 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 Fahrenheit) above pre-industrial levels based on the ERA5 data set,” the Deputy Director said. Samantha Burgess, from the Copernicus Climate Change Service, said: “This marks a new milestone in global temperature records and should act as a catalyst to increase ambition for the upcoming Climate Change Conference COP29.”

Annual global surface air temperature anomalies (°C) from 1940 to 2024 relative to 1850-1900. The 2024 forecast is provisional and based on data from January through October. Data source: ERA5. (Source: Copernicus Climate Change Service /ECMWF.)

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Climate scientists were not surprised by the record temperature. After experiencing the hottest January, NOAA says there’s a 99% chance 2024 would once again reach the hot turning point like 2023. This year also broke 2023’s hottest day in history. average planet temperature reached 17.15 degrees Celsius (62.87 degrees Fahrenheit) on July 22.

Copernicus Climate Change Service recorded above-average temperatures in most regions Europe and north Canada Temperatures are well above average in central and western parts WEnorthern Tibet, Japan And Australia.

Copernicus is also watching sea ​​surface temperaturesIt remains “unusually high in many regions,” according to the climate group. The average sea surface temperature for October was 20.86 degrees Celsius (69.54 degrees Fahrenheit); this was the second-highest temperature on record for this month, just 0.10 degrees Celsius (0.18 degrees Fahrenheit) below last year.

People flocked to the shoreline at Crescent Bay Beach to beat the heat during a record heat wave on September 7, 2024 in Laguna Beach, California. A week-long record-breaking heat wave blanketed Southern California with triple-digit highs. (Photo: Kevin Carter/Getty Images)

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