• Experts discuss why Donald Trump won the US elections.
• They noted Trump’s strength on immigration and the economy and the global trend for voters to punish incumbents.
• Here are some of the sharpest analyzes we’ve seen of Trump’s victory.

An avalanche of analysis occurred in the wake of Donald Trump victory According to experts, the US presidential elections to be held on Wednesday wanted Explaining how the former president won a second term.

They cited a variety of reasons, from a populist revolt against elites to Vice President Kamala Harris’ shortcomings as the Democratic nominee.

Here are some of the best comments we’ve seen.

Steve Hanke, Johns Hopkins University

Hanke, a professor of applied economics and former adviser to President Ronald Reagan, told Business Insider in an email: “American voters reacted negatively to the American elites who were running the show in Washington, the media, and so on. The result was a revolt against the elites.” .”

Nate Cohn, chief political analyst for The New York Times

“Trump won overall — including the voters who seemed most skeptical of him eight years ago, from Hispanic voters in New York City to tech workers in San Francisco.

“None of this is what Democrats imagined a decade ago, when many assumed that demographic and generational change would bring a new Democratic majority. Instead, many of the voters whom Democrats saw as the linchpin of their coalition were so disillusioned with the status quo instead that Mr. “They decided to support Trump.”

Tina Fordhamindependent strategist and consultant

“Trump’s victory This year is a prime example of a political and economic environment that has been brutal for incumbents around the world, revealing the fact that inflation is political kryptonite.

“This lesson will not be quickly lost on governments: growth is not enough if prices are high and wages can’t keep up.
The dividing lines in US politics along geographic, educational and gender lines remain bright; Trump’s strongest support comes from working-class men. This outcome will leave many Americans not only angry but also afraid.

“On a global level, there is no escaping the fact that Trump’s victory will transform both the US and the international system, and geopolitical and economic risks will increase.”

Nate Silver, founder of FiveThirtyEight and author of the Silver Bulletin newsletter

Silver, starting from the end of October24 reasons why Trump will win“

These reasons included inflation, negative perceptions of the economy and nostalgia for Trump’s first term, slow wage growth, a cultural shift to the right, disillusionment among male and minority voters, and Harris’ late candidacy.

Silver’s other reasons included Trump’s ability to convince voters that he was on his side and his success in appealing to marginal voting groups; The Israel-Hamas war that divided the Democratic base; Assassination attempts against Trump increase his sympathies; and Harris’ failure to explain her shift from left to moderate or articulate a clear vision for America.

Matthew Yglesias, author of the Slow Boring newsletter

“I think ‘don’t nominate women’ would be the worst takeaway from this,” Yglesias said. wrote to x. “Many women are high performers in elections, and since the majority of Democrats are women, if you are biased in nominating them, you will cause the party to become disconnected from talent. Learn from the winners!”

“Trump has made a lot of impossible and contradictory promises, and he is going to have problems,” Yglesias said. another X post. In a follow-up tweet, he added: “Trump has managed to reassure a healthy segment of people about abortion rights while also retaining the enthusiastic support of people who really want to ban abortion. It’s hard from needle to thread!”

Dominic Sandbrook, historian, commentator and author

Sandbrook told The Rest is Politics podcast He said Kamala Harris doesn’t have enough support from women, Latinx and Black voters, while Donald Trump has “a history of doing better in the polls, especially in rural areas, the South and the suburbs.”

He argued that Harris and Hillary Clinton have similar weaknesses, and that some voters do not want to consider a female commander in chief.

Sandbrook said many voters were also “suspicious” of a mixed-race woman from California who “appears to be the embodiment of the metropolitan liberal elite, for want of a better word.”

Eric Corellessa, TIME national political correspondent

” Democrats’ hasty change Electing a first-term president with Harris left them without a better-tested candidate who could potentially garner broader support. Voters took into account Trump’s advanced age and increasingly incoherent follow-up rhetoric. Much of the country is reading Trump’s legal troubles as part of a larger corrupt conspiracy to strip him and them of power. And he took advantage of the global unrest that emerged in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, which has ousted incumbent leaders around the world.

“Whenever the issue of abortion came up, Trump insisted that the issue was now up to the states and focused as much as possible on the economy, immigration, and crime; the campaign believed that these issues triggered anxiety among affluent suburban women who were open about supporting him.

“Musk has also turned social media platform X into a cauldron of conspiracy theories, calling the risks of the race existential for his more than 200 million followers.”