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    • Latest polls between Harris and Trump
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    Latest polls between Harris and Trump

    Harry Posted on

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    The race for the White House remains incredibly close Republican Donald Trump And Democrat Kamala Harris in less than 24 hours Until the polls open in the United States.

    A recent batch of national polls shows Vice President Harris and former President Trump in statistical tie as the candidates make last-minute moves to woo remaining undecided voters.

    While national polls continue to predict an unpredictably close race. It turns out that Harris is leading Trump in IowaIt’s an unexpected reversal for Democrats and Republicans, who all but erased the state’s presidential contest as a decisive Trump victory.

    As candidates race to the finish lineTrump is holding four rallies in key swing states, starting in North Carolina, heading to Pennsylvania for two campaign stops and finishing the day in Michigan. Meanwhile, Harris will wrap up her campaign in Pennsylvania by holding rallies in Philadelphia and Pittsburgh, followed by a concert in Allentown.

    Election 2024 live updates: Trump and Harris take final steps before Election Day; new polls

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    TIPP’s latest tracking survey The report released Monday shows Trump and Harris locked at 48%.

    The poll of 1,411 likely voters, conducted Friday through Sunday, showed statistical tie less than 24 hours before polls opened. The poll’s margin of error was 2.7 percent.

    “Significantly, 6 percent of voters say they could change their minds in these final hours, making every moment critical as the race approaches election day,” TIPP found.

    Harris leads Trump 49%-46% in ABC News/Ipsos poll

    Harris leads Trump by three percentage points in new poll ABC News/Ipsos It was published on Sunday.

    The poll of 2,267 likely voters showed Harris leading Trump 49 percent to 46 percent the day before the election. The poll, conducted Tuesday through Friday, showed Harris’ lead to be outside the 2 percentage point margin of error.

    “This narrow 3-point lead with Trump matches the average Democrat-Republican gap in the last eight presidential elections; Democrats won the popular vote in seven of those elections,” ABC News reported. “No matter what, the outcome leaves room open to the whims of the Electoral College.”

    The survey stated, “A demoralized electorate signals the end of the 2024 presidential campaign” and emphasized that 74% of voters said the country was on the wrong track and 60% were dissatisfied with the candidate choices.

    But political leaning is also linked to voters’ attitudes toward the economy. While 78 percent of Trump supporters report that their situation has gotten worse under the Biden administration, only 8 percent of Harris supporters say this. As the vice president seeks to differentiate himself from Biden, 34% of those surveyed think he will maintain the status quo if elected, while 35% think he will shake things up for the better and 31% for the worse. .

    Trump and Harris tied in latest NBC News poll

    Harris and Trump are at an impasse A new poll from NBC News The report, published on Sunday, shows that both candidates received support from 49% of registered voters.

    The poll of 1,000 registered voters conducted Wednesday through Saturday had a margin of error of 3.1 percentage points.

    The poll described the contest as intensely polarized, including a more than 30-point gender gap between men’s and women’s voting preferences. The survey found that no matter who wins the presidential race, 60 percent of voters believe the country will remain divided.

    There has been little change in voter attitudes since last monthAccording to the survey, “despite the frenzied campaign activity and billions of dollars in advertising in recent weeks.”

    “We’ve become more distant and picked our corner,” said Republican pollster Bill McInturff of Public Opinion Strategies. “Both sides are as locked in as possible and neither moving nor moving.”

    Harris has a slight lead over Trump in latest Morning Consult poll

    Harris was leading Trump by 2 percentage points. Morning Consult’s latest survey It was published on Sunday.

    The poll of 8,918 likely voters showed the vice president leading the former president by 49-47%; This is outside the 1 point margin of error.

    According to the poll conducted from Tuesday to Thursday, “A majority of voters (45%) said they had heard positive things about Harris recently, and she maintained the positive buzz advantage she had throughout the campaign in the final weeks.” .

    Meanwhile, 49 percent of survey respondents reported hearing negative things about Trump recently.

    Republicans have an advantage over Democrats on the economy, national security, crime and especially immigration. Democrats maintain their confidence advantage on health care, rights programs, climate change and abortion.

    Candidates tied in Emerson’s latest poll

    In the latest poll, Harris and Trump are neck-and-neck at 49 percent. Emerson College Poll It was published on Sunday.

    The survey of 1,000 likely voters found nearly the same deadlock when respondents were asked who they expected to win: 50% expected Trump to emerge victorious, while 49% said Harris. The poll, conducted Wednesday through Saturday, had a margin of error of 3 percentage points.

    But when it comes to positive views, Harris has a slight edge over Trump; 50% have a positive view of Harris, while 48% have a positive view of Trump.

    Spencer Kimball, managing director of Emerson College Polling, said the findings “point to an incredibly close race.” “The gender gap is very sharp; women support Harris by 12 points, while men support Trump by the same margin.”

    As we approach election day, the most important issue for voters is the economy with 40%, followed by immigration (17%), threats to democracy (16%), access to abortion (7%) and healthcare (5%).

    Things to consider when voting

    The margin of error defines how accurately we can trust that survey results represent the entire population.

    When a candidate’s lead is “within” the margin of error, it is considered a “statistical tie.” Pew Research Center.

    Pew also has It found that the majority of pollsters had changed their methods since the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, when Trump’s performance was significantly underestimated.

    Eric Lagatta covers breaking and trending news for USA TODAY. Reach him at [email protected]

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