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Lions vs Packers Predictions, Picks and Best Bets – NFL Week 9
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Lions vs Packers Predictions, Picks and Best Bets – NFL Week 9

The weather on Sunday will not be good for the players and will result in fewer points being scored throughout the match.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com

November 3, 2024 • 13:19 ET

• 4 minute read

Photo: – Imagn Images. Pictured: Jared Goff Detroit Lions

Week 9 in the NFL begins with the match between the 6-1 Detroit Lions and the 6-2 Green Bay Packers at the historic Lambeau Field.

With Green Bay quarterback Jordan Love’s status up in the air and mixed weather on the horizon, my Lions-Packers predictions are calling for a lower-scoring matchup.

Here are my best freebies NFL picks This NFC North duel on November 3 will air live on FOX at 4:25 p.m.

Also be sure to read our article. Lions vs. Packers’ prop picks!

Lions vs Packers predictions and predictions

Radiate

The forward line for this game had this: Green Bay Packers They were installed as 1-point home favorites. Another dominant victory Detroit Lions With Jordan Love’s injury in Week 9, the Lions moved the line to -4.5 by Monday. With Love now considered the pre-match decision, the difference has increased to -2.5.

We saw earlier this year that books were overly attuned to the absence of Love; Third-year QB Malik Willis stepped up to lead the Packers to a pair of wins and caps. Willis was an efficient 12-of-14 for 122 yards with 41 yards against the Colts in Week 2, and then completed 13 of 19 passes for 202 yards with 73 rushing yards in a blowout win over the Titans the following week.

Detroit’s defense has looked vulnerable since losing superstar linebacker Aidan Hutchinson to a season-ending injury, allowing 6.5 yards per play over the past two weeks. While the Lions’ offense is hot, they have a history of struggling in games in bad weather, and Lambeau will be rainy and windy on Sunday.

I’m leaning towards the Packers on points, but I recommend waiting until closer to game time. If it becomes clear that Willis will start (and I expect he will as the Packers’ bye approaches), we need to get Green Bay above the key number of 3.0.

money line

With such a short spread and upset potential in this rivalry game, it also makes sense to consider the Packers ML at +120.

Top/Bottom

Although Willis has been impressive this year, he is still disconnected from Love. Especially his ability to spread the ball and handle reads. The Packers also leaned heavily on the run when Willis started, and they’ll likely use the same game plan here — especially with rain and high winds in the forecast.

There is a 94% chance of showers with winds just above the 15 mph threshold affecting down throws on the course. The Lions benefit from playing their home games indoors, and their offense is much less explosive when exposed to the elements.

Cali-boy Jared Goff He has yet to play a game outside of this year, but last season he averaged just 6.5 yards per attempt with an 82.0 passer rating in five games outdoors, compared to 8.1 YPA with a 108.9 rating in the domes. That, combined with the Packers’ underrated defense, is enough to make the Under the safest bet for me.

My best bet between Lions and Packers

below 47.5 (-110 at BetMGM)

my analysis
As mentioned above, the bad weather, the fact that Willis was probably at QB for the Packers, and the fact that Detroit was struggling openly on offense made me beat it.

It is also worth noting that Detroit is a high-tempo team that eats up time and leads to less possession. Additionally, the Packers’ defense was solid. They rank fourth in the league in defensive EPA since Week 3, holding their foes to just 4.0 yards per carry.

Both teams play at a slow tempo; Detroit averages the fourth-most seconds per snap (28.4), with Green Bay close behind (28.1).

Lions vs Packers same game match

below 47.5

Packers Under Spread +7.5

Jared Goff pass attempts under 29.5

Since I’m expecting a mixed aerial game with both teams relying on rushing attacks, it makes sense to weaken Goff’s passing attempts. Especially since he hasn’t completed more than 25 passes in his last five games.

Being able to increase the Packers spread to over a touchdown and still get a good payout from that PPP is worth it.

Learn how to bet on the same game with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Lions vs Packers betting odds

Lions-Packers live betting odds

Lions vs Packers opening odds

  • Radiate: Detroit -4.5 | Green Bay +4.5
  • money line: Detroit-205 | Green Bay +170
  • Top/Bottom: Above 48.5 | below 48.5

Rates courtesy BetMGM

Knowing the Lions vs Packers betting trend

Packers coach Matt LaFleur is an underdog at 24-11 ATS (69%) and 20-15 SU. find more NFL betting trends For the Lions and Packers.

Lions vs Packers game information

Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, Wisconsin
History: Sunday, 11-3, 2024
To start: 16:25 ET
TV: FOX

Latest injuries in Lions vs Packers

Lions-Packers weather

Monitor game time conditions with us live NFL weather information and learn How does weather affect NFL betting?.

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