While the Houston Cougars have two wins in their last three Big 12 games, Willie Fritz’s program has yet to play a team as loaded as the Kansas State Wildcats.

While the Wildcats are playing their best football of the season, my predictions for the Kansas State-Houston game expect their punishing offense to take advantage of the Cougars’ defense.

Read all about it in my book college football picks For Saturday, November 2.

Kansas State-Houston prediction and best bet

my best bet
Kansas State -13.5 (-110 at BetMGM)
Selections made at the time of writing may not reflect live odds.

my analysis
Houston With wins over Utah and TCU in their last three games, Fritz is proof that this team is heading in the right direction. But there is also a clear talent gap if the Cougars play more competent Big 12 programs.

While those two wins were nice, they were outscored 96-14 in their other three conference games against Kansas, Iowa State and Cincinnati. In two and three of these matches, they were unable to protect the goal and were out of the game.

Well, Kansas State They are on a similar level to the Cyclones as one of the best teams in the Big 12. The Wildcats are the top-ranked team in the conference in SP+ (15th), and that’s largely due to their offense.

Kansas State is eighth in the nation in EPA per rush this season and ninth in rushing yards per game (223.3). The combination of QB Avery Johnson and running backs DJ Giddens and Dylan Edwards is lethal and should pose a big problem for defensive coordinator Shiel Wood.

Houston ranks just 77th in EPA per rush on defense and allows an average of 203 rushing yards per game in Big 12 losses. And that running game is more explosive than those of the Jayhawks, Cyclones and Bearcats; There are 63 rushes of 10+ yards per season this season. PFF.

All Kansas State really needs to do is find the end zone a few times, because this Houston offense sucks. He ranks 102nd in SP+ and is averaging the fewest yards per game (300.4) and points per game in the Big 12 (14.1).

The Cougars have one of the worst offenses in the country, ranking just 98th in EPA per return and 107th in EPA per rush. That won’t stop the Wildcats defense from ranking in the Top 25 defensively in both categories.

K-State allows the fewest rushing yards per game (96.8) in the conference and just 21.4 points per game. This isn’t a game where Chris Kileman will be caught playing with his team’s food.

I expect the Wildcats to win in the 35-17 range.

Kansas State vs Houston same game matchup (SGP)

Kansas State -12.5

over 45.5

DJ Giddens over 104.5 yards

The total for this game is low because Houston’s offense is very disorganized and the team only bets 1-7 Overs. But Kansas State’s offense is the best the Cougars have ever seen and should be able to do the bulk of the scoring to hit this Over.

The total against Kansas was set at 45 before the Jayhawks beat Houston 42-14. I think this will be a similar outcome, with the Wildcats’ offense being as explosive as Johnson’s situation at QB.

Kansas State has reached the Over in three of its last four games, averaging 36.7 points per game in the process, its lowest game total of the season.

Much of Kansas State’s high-powered offense of late has come from Giddens. He’s averaged 132 yards rushing per game over the last four games. He ranks sixth in the nation in rushing yards after contact (657) and 10th in missed tackles forced (47), which should lead to plenty of rushing runs against this defense.

Learn how to bet on the same game with these helpful tips and strategies.

Kansas State vs Houston betting odds

Kansas State-Houston live betting odds

Kansas State-Houston opening odds

• Difference between Kansas State and Houston: Houston +12.5
• Kansas State and Houston moneyline: Kansas State -550, Houston +400
• Kansas State – Houston Over/Under: 45.5

Rates courtesy BetMGM

Kansas State vs Houston difference and Over/Under analysis

• Kansas State opened as a 12.5-point favorite, and the line in most sports betting had the Wildcats at -13.5.
• The Wildcats are just 3-5 ATS this season, while Houston is 4-4.
• The Over/Under opened between 45.5 and 46.5, with most of the books showing little movement.
• Kansas State is 4-4 betting the Over this season, but is 3-1 in its last four games, while Houston is just 1-7.

Knowing the Kansas State vs Houston betting trend

Kansas State has surpassed its game total in eight of its last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI). find more college football betting trends For Kansas State and Houston.

Kansas State-Houston match information

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