A notable Big Ten football matchup begins Saturday as 13th-seeded Indiana looks to preserve its perfect season against Washington in college football’s Week 9 matchup. Let’s take a look at the latest predictions for the game from an expert model who predicts scores and picks winners.

Indiana improved to 7-0 for the second time in program history thanks to the No. 1 offense in college football, but quarterback Kurtis Rourke will not play in this game after injuring his thumb last week, clearing the way for Tayven Jackson to coach this game. powerful attack.

Washington falls to 2-2 in Big Ten play after suffering an ugly 40-16 loss at Iowa last weekend and begins the first of three critical road tests against ranked conference opponents.

What do the analytics suggest when the Hoosiers and Huskies meet in this Big Ten matchup?

For that, let’s turn to the SP+ prediction model to get a preview of how Indiana and Washington compare in this Week 9 college football game.

As expected, the models give the Hoosiers a significant advantage over the Huskies this week.

SP+ predicts Indiana will beat Washington by a landslide Predicted score from 32 to 22 and win the game by an expected margin 10 point difference in the process.

Model gives Hoosiers powerful insight 73 percent probability definitive victory in the game.

SP+ is “a tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency” that attempts to predict game outcomes by measuring “the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football.”

How good is this season? The SP+ model is 211-194-4 against the spread so far with a 52.1 winning percentage after going 31-27-1 (53.4%) last weekend.

indiana one 6.5 point favorite vs. Washington, according to lines on FanDuel Sportsbook.

FanDuel lists the total at: 53.5 points for the game (Over -115, Under -105).

And that set the moneyline rates for Indiana -210 and for Washington +172 To win for sure.

If you are using this prediction to bet on the game, you must:

If you do, you’ll be on the side of a large number of bettors who have the Hoosiers winning this week, according to the latest consensus picks for the game.

Indiana gets 74 percent Many bets to close the gap to win the game and stay unbeatable.

the other 26 percent Most bets predict Washington will either win the game in an upset or keep the game under touchdowns in defeat.

indiana 31.3 points better He has averaged more home games than his opponents so far this season.

And the Hoosiers 26.7 points better More than the opponent on average in the last three games.

Washington struggled on the road and caught the average 10.7 points worse They are better than their opponents away from home this season.

But the Huskies caught up with the average 5.7 points worse Generally more than the opponent in the last 3 matches.

Most other analytical models also favor the Hoosiers beating the Huskies this week.

This includes the College Football Power Index, a computer forecasting model that uses data points from both teams to simulate games 20,000 times to pick winners.

Indiana is mostly expected to win the game 83.8 percent One of the computer’s latest matchmaking simulations.

This leaves Washington as the expected favorite in the remaining group. 16.2 percent from the sims.

Indiana is expected to be 14.8 points better According to the model’s latest prediction, both teams are better off than Washington on the same field in terms of their current composition.

Indiana ranks fourth among Big Ten teams. 62.7 percent chance To qualify for the College Football Playoff, according to FPI’s metrics.

This model gives the Hoosiers win total prediction 10.8 games this season.

Washington’s a 46.8 percent chance According to the calculations of the index, the bowl game will be held in 2024.

FPI gives Huskies win total prediction 5.5 games In ’24.

When: Saturday, October 26
Time: 12:00 ET | 9am PT
TV: Big Ten Network

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Match odds are updated periodically and may change.

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