Will be seen on Sunday NASCAR Cup Series The champion was crowned at Phoenix Speedway, and while only four drivers were eligible to win the sport’s biggest prize, 38 drivers were eligible to visit Victory Lane.

Read our free article betting selections To see who you should be rooting for in this race as Ryan Blaney looks for his second straight title.

Odds to win the 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race

Driver
Ryan Blaney	+400	+300
Christopher Bell	+500	+400
William Byron	+600	+550
Joey Logano	+650	+700
Tyler Reddick	+750	+700
Kyle Larson	+750	+1,000
Denny Hamlin	+1,200	+1,200
Chase Elliott	+1,400	+1,600
Ross Chastain	+1,600	+1,600
Martin Truex Jr.	+2,200	+1,600
Chase Briscoe	+3,500	+4,000
Ty Gibbs	+3,500	+2,500
Kyle Busch	+3,500	+5,000
Chris Buescher	+4,000	+3,500
Brad Keselowski	+4,000	+3,500
Bubba Wallace	+5,000	+7,500
Alex Bowman	+5,500	+7,500
josh berry	+6,500	+7,500
Austin Cindric	+6,500	+7,500
Austin Dillon	+10,000	+10,000

The odds are 11-6.

NASCAR Cup Series Championship Racing area

Ryan Blaney made it into Championship 4 at Martinsville, just as he claimed his first title in Phoenix in 2023 by finishing second behind non-playoff driver Ross Chastain. The #12 driver will hope history repeats itself, but Tyler Reddick, William Byron and Joey Logano will try to reverse the script.

Reddick won the regular season title but struggled early in the playoffs and found himself behind the eight ball entering the Round of 8. However, she made it to the big dance for the first time at Homestead-Miami. in his Cup Series career.

Joey Logano is Blaney’s teammate at Penske but will be looking for his third career title and second in three years.

Byron never won a championship and was eligible to race at Phoenix because NASCAR overturned the results at Martinsville due to a “wall drive” in the final corner that allowed Christopher Bell to sneak in for the tiebreaker over the No. 24 driver.

Speaking of Bell, he was a dominant winner in Phoenix in March and will certainly be motivated to crash the party on Sunday.

NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race expert picks and predictions

Odds listed below DraftKings Sports Betting As of 11-6.

NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race qualifying favorites

Ryan Blaney (+400)
One of these years, Ryan Blaney will find victory lane in Phoenix. Although he was 0-for-17 in the NASCAR Cup Series at this track, he posted 11 Top 10 finishes in those 17 starts, eight of them consecutive. What’s more, he’s led 322 laps in that span, finishing second in three of the last four Phoenix attempts, fourth in the previous two starts and fifth this spring.

William Byron+600)
Byron won the 2023 spring race, leading 64 laps and finishing first and second in the stages respectively. He finished fifth this spring, finishing sixth and fourth in two stages, but came home 18th. He was on pole position and finished fourth last fall, leading 95 of 312 laps. Byron has posted six Top 10 finishes in his last nine attempts at Phoenix. His loss was a 27-race winning streak that saw three other Championship 4 drivers go past Round 8. Additionally, the last driver to win both the Daytona 500 and the championship in the same season was Jimmie Johnson in 2013. But Hendrick Motorsports has only had three examples since 1980: Jeff Gordon (1997), Johnson (2006) and Johnson (2013).

Joey Logano (+650)
Logano has been feast or famine on this track. He led 612 laps and seven Top-10 finishes in an eight-race stretch last season at Phoenix, including a pair of wins (Spring 2020, Fall 2022) and a second-place finish (Spring 2021). However, Logano failed to make a lap the year before, failing to score any stage points and finishing 11th and 18th respectively. He also finished 23rd this spring and finished 34th without a lap lead. He finished 32nd at Loudon. Yet when Logano has won the title twice, he also won the opening race of Round 8, just as he did this season in Las Vegas…

Tyler Reddick+650)
Reddick had two Top 5 finishes in Phoenix’s nine attempts. However, despite finishing 10th this spring, he led 68 laps and finished two stages in first and second place respectively. He finished 23rd and 22nd, respectively, the last two fall, but a sixth-place finish at Loudon this spring gives Reddick a fighting chance.

NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race sleepers

Kyle Larson (+800)
Phoenix wasn’t one of Larson’s best imprints. It has become one now. Larson has five Top 5 finishes in his last nine starts here and finished fourth at Loudon this summer. The problem is that Larson, who has nine Top 10 finishes in the Phoenix’s last 11 tries, also has just one career win in the 20 Phoenix starts in the Cup. He is 0 for 1 in Trucks and 0 for 5 in the Xfinity Series.

Ross Chastain (+1,600)
Chastain won the race last fall after leading 157 laps and finishing third and second in the stages, respectively. He had stage points in both stages of the 2023 spring race but fell to 24th after running into Denny Hamlin late in the race. He finished sixth last spring. Chastain finished second and third, respectively, in 2022.

Chase Briscoe (+3,500)
He won the 2022 spring race after leading 101 laps. Briscoe led a further 11 laps from Autumn, finishing the stage in third and fourth respectively. He came home seventh and ninth, respectively, the last two springs. That’s why the race for 24th last November doesn’t scare me. Especially since he finished second at Loudon.

Chris Buescher (+4,000)
Ford was fast at Phoenix and Buescher won the second stage last fall, finishing fifth. He finished second this spring and fifth at Loudon this summer.

The NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race comes to an end

Denny Hamlin (+1,200)
The Joe Gibbs Racing driver has 12 Top 10 finishes in his last 17 starts in the desert; including an eighth-place finish last fall. However, his best finish with this Next Generation car was eighth, leading 82 laps. He also finished 24th at Loudon this year. Phoenix’s two wins in 38 starts makes me cautious.

Martin Truex Jr. (+2,200)
He showed his best performance in Phoenix in 2021 and stood out with his win in the spring and second place in the fall. Since then they have finished 35th, 15th, 17th, sixth and seventh respectively and led 56 laps; The 55th came last spring. He has three Top 5 finishes in his last 12 starts at Phoenix.

NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race propeller selection

In eight of the nine years in this Championship 4 format, the champion was required to win the season finale. Moreover, Kevin Harvick became the last driver to win both Phoenix races in a single season in 2014.

So it’s a great play for Christopher Bell to be in the top three. Bell won the spring race and has five Top 10 finishes in his last seven Phoenix starts. He also won at a similar track, New Hampshire, this summer.

Additionally, a driver who did not qualify for the Championship 4 has finished in the Top 3 in seven out of 10 years (two in a row).

Before this format, the champion had won the final race only once in the previous 10 years of the play-off format (Tony Stewart in 2011). In fact, if you go back to the beginning of the Modern Era (1972) and watch the 2003 season in the traditional points format, you will see that the season champion has won the season finale only twice in 42 years.

Jeff Gordon (1998, Atlanta) and Tony Stewart (2011, Homestead). They’ve been 9-for-8 since then.

To choose: Christopher Bell finished in the Top 3 (+130 on DraftKings)

Phoenix Raceway track analysis

Nothing has changed at this track this year compared to last time.

Ford drivers led 89% of laps (624 vs. 558) in 2022; this included 248 of 312 races in the Spring race and 310 of 312 races in the Fall race. Hendrick Motorsports led 65 of the 66 laps between the two races, while the only other driver to lead a lap at Phoenix last year was AJ Allmendinger (one lap, Fall race).

Last year Chevrolet flipped the script. They led 532 of last year’s 629 total laps (84.5%), placing them in the top four of the spring race.

In the fall race, Ford led 82 of the remaining 97 laps, while Toyota took the remaining 15 laps.

This spring, Toyota drivers led 298 of 312 laps. Ford led the remaining 14. Out of 298, JGR led all but 68, while 23XI Racing’s Reddick led the remainder.

NASCAR Cup Series Championship Racing trends

• Starting position is very important in Phoenix. 12 of the last 14 Phoenix winners have come from a Top 10 starting spot. Last year’s winners started third and eighth respectively. Bell finished 13th this spring.
• In nine of the last 11 Phoenix races, the race winner has finished in the Top 5 in the opening stage; The last five finished second, first, first, third and scoreless, respectively.
• Additionally, 10 of the last 11 race winners advanced to the Top-2 in Stage 2; The last four winners have also finished second in the second stage three times, with Bell winning the second stage this spring.
• Essentially, Sunday’s winner is a rider who finished in the Top 5 in Stage 1 and the top 2 in Stage 2.
• There have been eight different consecutive winners at Phoenix: Elliott, Truex Jr., Larson, Bowman, Logano, Byron, Chastain and Bell.

NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race information

Previous NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race winners

Phoenix has been holding the NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race since 2020, with the winner of the first three races also becoming the Cup Series champion. Ross Chastain bucked the trend in 2023, while Ryan Blaney took home his first title by finishing second.

How are the NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race selections made?

Betting on NASCAR is a nuanced process that can take into account many factors and encompass several different types of bets. Fortunately, our How to Bet on NASCAR? The guide walks you through the basics such as how to read the odds, the different markets available and what to look for when placing your bets.

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