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Hurricane Rafael is expected to move from the Gulf of Mexico to the Gulf of Mexico after hitting Cuba

Harry November 7, 2024

Hurricane Rafael hit Cuba as a major Category 3 hurricane on Wednesday, and forecasters will now keep an eye on the late-season storm as it continues to move toward the Gulf of Mexico.

MIAMI – Strong Hurricane Rafael also hit Cuba as major hurricane on Wednesday. The late-season tropical system has now emerged in the Gulf of Mexico, but the question now turns to where it will go next.

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The Fox Forecast Center said what’s happening now is a rare occurrence. Aunt Raphael Category 2 hurricane As of the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center (NHC). This is the first Category 2 storm to enter the Gulf Mexican in November since Hurricane Ida in 2009.

Cuba and parts of the Western Caribbean undoubtedly took the brunt of the storm, which brought damaging hurricane force. winds, flood rain and potentially deadly storm surge.

A weather station in Havana’s Casablanca district reported winds of 93 mph around the time Rafael made landfall Wednesday afternoon. According to a Reuters reportCuba was plunged into darkness due to the impact of the storm.

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Rescuers walk down a dark street due to a power outage after hurricane Rafael passed through Havana on November 6, 2024. Hurricane Rafael left Cuba on Wednesday night, leaving the island in darkness with widespread power outages and destruction in some villages. as a strong Category 3 hurricane. (Photo: Yamil LAGE / AFP) (Photo: YAMIL LAGE/AFP via Getty Images)

(Getty Images)

Although most tropical weather warnings have been suspended, Tropical Storm Warning Remains in effect in Florida Dry Tortugas – popular but distant national park About 70 miles west of Key West, Florida.

Conditions are expected to gradually improve across the region, but millions of people across the region WE The Gulf Coast will closely monitor the progress of the hurricane as it slowly moves over the Gulf of Mexico.

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Where is Hurricane Rafael?

This chart shows the status of Hurricane Rafael.
(FOX Weather)

as of Latest advice from NHCRafael is about 180 miles west of Key West and moving northwest at 12 mph. Maximum sustained winds in Rafael reach 105 mph, and winds are expected to weaken as the storm moves across the Gulf of Mexico over the next few days.

Most warnings have been discontinued, but a Tropical Storm Warning for Dry Tortugas remains in effect.

What is the forecast for Hurricane Rafael?

Forecast cone for Hurricane Rafael.
(FOX Weather)

The FOX Forecast Center said computer forecast models strongly agree that Rafael will quickly turn west and begin its journey toward the central Gulf of Mexico.

The guiding currents that helped Rafael on its way from the Caribbean to the Gulf will begin to weaken significantly, allowing the hurricane to meander through the center of the Gulf over the weekend and into next week.

The FOX Forecast Center added that there is a growing consensus that Rafael will slowly move toward that goal. Texas or Mexico, and is steadily weakening while doing so.

Spaghetti plans for Hurricane Rafael.
(FOX Weather)

However, there is a possibility that Rafael could turn north, but the FOX Forecast Center says that looks less likely.

This is because Rafael will be moving to a very dry environment. atmosphere and strong upper-level headwinds. Rafael could easily disperse due to hostile atmospheric conditions.

If Rafael survives into next week, it could be because it moves far enough south to avoid those hostile conditions in the western Gulf of Mexico, the FOX Forecast Center said. In this case, the Mexican coast may be under threat.