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    • The Hurricane Center tracks the path of Caribbean systems. Florida influences?
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    The Hurricane Center tracks the path of Caribbean systems. Florida influences?

    Harry Posted on

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    A. Tropical depression is likely to occur with the gradual development of a system that resumes production in the Caribbean next week.

    National Hurricane Center forecasters say There is an 80% chance A large low pressure area is predicted to develop in the southwestern Caribbean Sea over the next seven days. Farther east, a system located near Puerto Rico is moving eastward and may produce storms over the Greater Antilles before being absorbed by another system.

    Meanwhile, there’s another storm brewing away from Florida. Subtropical Storm Patty formed west of the Azores on Saturday morning.

    What does all this mean for the coasts of the United States? There are lots of ifs and Tornado strikes in November remain rare.

    “The most reliable guides indicate that the western flank of this steering high pressure will still extend across the Gulf, with a possible storm continuing to move westward or northwestward into the southwestern Gulf of Mexico,” said Ryan Truchalat, forecaster and owner of Weathertiger. USA TODAY Network.

    “A minority of model ensemble members have a faster, stronger frontal passage, in which case a storm near the Yucatan or Cuba could theoretically turn northeast toward Florida toward the end of next week or the following weekend.”

    In short, everything is fine for Florida and the USA this weekend, but be aware of the situation.

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    The later names of the storms are Raphael and Sara.

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    Here are the details about what happened there as of 5 a.m. on November 2:

    Where is Subtropical Storm Patty? Is a hurricane headed for Florida?

    Subtropical Storm Roll: The center of Subtropical Storm Patty was located near latitude 39.9 North and longitude 34.4 West. The storm is moving east-southeast at 7 miles per hour. A faster movement to the east-southeast is expected throughout tonight, followed by a turn to the east and east-northeast on Sunday and Monday.

    Maximum sustained winds are around 50 mph, with higher gusts possible. Little change in intensity is expected today, but gradual weakening is expected through early next week. Patty may strengthen into a post-tropical hurricane late Sunday. Winds of up to 40 mph extend up to 205 miles from the center.

    Hazards affecting the land:

    WIND: Tropical storm conditions may occur in parts of the Azores this weekend.

    PRECIPITATION: Patty is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches across the Azores by Sunday.

    SURFING: The waves created by Patty will affect the Azores in the next few days. These waves are likely to cause life-threatening surf and disrupt existing conditions.

    November brings tropical development closer to Florida, USA

    since 1851 Three hurricanes hit Florida in November.

    While the earlier months of the Atlantic hurricane season often see tropical waves emerging off the coast of Africa and giving people advance notice as they move across the Atlantic, this is not the case for the final month of the season.

    “As we move into early November, the focus of tropical development shifts toward the United States. Typically, areas of focus toward the end of the season are in the Caribbean and off the Southeast coast,” DaSilva said.

    Tropical depression may form in the Caribbean later this week

    Southwest Caribbean Sea: Forecasters said sporadic showers and storms in the southwestern Caribbean Sea were associated with a broad area of ​​low pressure. This system is expected to develop gradually over the next few days, and a tropical depression is likely to form early next week as the system moves generally northward to northwestward over the Central and Western Caribbean Sea.

    Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible over the next few days over parts of contiguous land areas of the Western Caribbean, including Jamaica, Hispaniola and Cuba.

    • Lineup chance over 48 hours: medium, 50 percent.
    • Lineup chance over 7 days: high, 80 percent.

    What else is out there and how likely are they to get stronger?

    Near the Greater Antilles: A trough of low pressure extending eastward from near Puerto Rico into adjacent waters of the Atlantic is creating a broad area of ​​showers and storms near and over parts of the Greater Antilles and the Leeward Islands.

    Slow development is possible over the next few days as the system moves west-northwestward near the Greater Antilles. This system is then expected to be absorbed into the low pressure area over the Caribbean Sea. Regardless of the development, locally heavy rains are possible over the next few days from the northern Leeward Islands westward to Puerto Rico and Hispaniola, eastern Cuba and the southeastern Bahamas.

    • Formation chance over 48 hours: low, 10 percent.
    • Formation chance over 7 days: low, 10 percent.

    North Atlantic: Showers and storms continue to show signs of organizing near the low pressure system located several hundred miles west-northwest of the Azores.

    Environmental conditions may allow for further development today and tonight, and the system may strengthen into a short-lived subtropical or tropical storm as it moves east-southeast at 10 to 15 mph. Upper level winds are expected to become unfavorable for further development towards the end of this week.

    Interests in the Azores should monitor the progress of this system.

    • Lineup chance over 48 hours: medium, 60 percent.
    • Lineup chance over 7 days: medium, 60 percent.

    Who is likely to be affected?

    Water The Caribbean stays warm enough AccuWeather forecasters said Saturday morning will help support tropical development.

    Destructive breezes are called wind shearremains low in the region.

    “The most likely broad area for tropical development at this time will be over the Western and Central Caribbean, and the time frame for development will be Saturday through Tuesday,” AccuWeather Chief On-Air Meteorologist Bernie Rayno said. “This trait may first develop near the large northern islands of the Caribbean, possibly Jamaica.”

    Weather watches and warnings issued in Florida

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    When is Atlantic hurricane season?

    Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30.

    The Atlantic basin includes the northern Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico.

    Countdown clock: When will hurricane season end?

    Interactive map: Hurricanes and tropical storms passing near your city

    What’s next?

    We will continue to update our tropical weather coverage daily. Download your local site’s app to make sure you’re always connected to the news. And call for us special subscription offers here.

    (This story has been updated to add new information.)

    Harry
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