CNN data analyst Harry Enten warns the Vice President Kamala HarrisPresident saying ‘ campaign Joe Bidenapproval ratings and Republican Registration is problematic in key states and if Donald Trump if he wins, “the signs will be clear from the very beginning.”

while talking CNNSpeaking with John Berman on News Center on Wednesday, Enten also pointed to data polling Americans on whether the United States is “on the right track.”

“When I look back in history, there is not a single time when 28 percent of the American people thought the country was going in the right direction and the incumbent party actually won,” Enten said. “They always lose,” Enten said, “and very few Americans think the country is on the right track at this point.”

Enten used the following data: Cook Political Report and his community.

news week He reached out to the Harris campaign for comment via email and online forum Wednesday evening.

Enten continued: “Republicans “More Republicans are joining the electorate, the number of Democrats has decreased relative to the number of Republicans, and as a result, if the Republicans win next week, if Donald Trump wins next week, the signs will be clear from the beginning.”

Enten also Published on Xbefore excitement“If Trump wins, the signs were there all along,” he said, followed by a post later “This remains the closest presidential election I have ever seen.”

In a survey conducted by YouGov Economist While 25 percent of adult U.S. citizens reported Wednesday thought the country was “generally heading in the right direction,” 64 percent said it was “on the wrong track.”

The YouGov poll also showed Biden with a 40 percent approval rating and a 55 percent disapproval rating. 538 poll estimates similarly show Biden with a 39.1 percent approval rating and a 55.7 disapproval rating.

“Joe Biden is not on the ballot, but he is certainly on Americans’ minds,” Enten said.

Harris has sought to distinguish herself from Biden since announcing her candidacy after Biden fell out of the 2024 race following his disastrous debate performance against Trump.

“I’m not Joe Biden,” Harris repeatedly said when asked about policy differences. He also said he would include a Republican in his cabinet, stating that this was an important difference.

When asked if she would have done anything differently over the last four years, Harris said: Appearance“I can’t think of anything,” he adds, “I have been part of many of the decisions that have had an impact.”

Meanwhile, Republican registration numbers have been strong in recent months. Republicans outperform Democrats in the must-win swing state of Pennsylvania.

Republican early voter turnout also increased was seen to increase together with Democrats Comparing this election cycle to 2020.