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Kamala Harris’ Lead Diminishes One Week After Election: New National Poll
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Kamala Harris’ Lead Diminishes One Week After Election: New National Poll

Vice President Kamala Harris He has lost some of his lead among national voters, according to the latest poll from Florida Atlantic University’s Political Communication and Public Opinion Research Laboratory (PolCom Lab).

With one week until Election Day, Harris is deadlocked with the former President Donald Trump In the battle for the White House. However, some recent surveys show that: Republicans With Trump surpassing Harris’ voting average in national polls, she may gain some momentum at home.

In a poll released Tuesday by PolCom Lab, Harris leads Trump 49 percent to 47 percent among 937 registered voters surveyed. The poll was conducted between October 20 and 27, and the margin of error is 3.2 points, meaning the gap between the candidates is very close.

Harris' Lead Shrinks One Week After Election: Poll
Democratic presidential candidate Vice President Kamala Harris speaks at the CNN Presidential Town Hall at Sun Center Studios on October 23, 2024 in Aston, Pennsylvania. Harris’ national lead on former President Donald Trump begins…


Photo: Andrew Harnik/Getty Images

news week He reached out to Harris’ campaign via email for comment on Tuesday.

Harris’ current lead stems from PolCom Lab’s national poll results in September; That poll found the vice president ahead among registered voters by 49 to 45 percent, outside the poll’s 3.4-point margin of error. In August, Harris led Trump by a 4-point margin (47 percent to 43 percent), with a margin of error of 3.2 points among registered voters in the same PolCom Lab.

The latest information from PolCom Lab follows other survey trends. Trump also received positive news this week from aggregator RealClearPolling, which found: for the first time since august National polls show the former president leading Harris on average. As of Tuesday, Trump leads Harris by an average of 0.4 points.

Harris still leads Trump, according to FiveThirtyEight’s tracking 1.3 points On average in national surveys. However, in recent weeks this difference has gradually decreased. At the beginning of October, Harris gained an average of 2.6 points. In national polls on September 1, the vice president was ahead by 3.1 points.

In such a close contest, November results will likely hinge on a handful of critical battleground states where Harris and Trump also face each other.

Many analysts touted Pennsylvania as the “must-win” state in the election. Joe Biden He won against Trump in 2020. almost all Latest research in the Keystone State It fell within the polls’ margins of error, meaning there was no clear lead for either candidate.

RealClearPolling election prediction model In addition to Minnesota, it puts seven of the swing states — Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — in the “throw in the air” category.

Trump has a slightly better chance of getting the 270 delegate votes needed for victory in November, according to FiveThirtyEight’s election forecast, but the race is still too close to call for sure. FiveThirtyEight also projects that Trump has at least a 60 percent chance of clinching Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina, while the remaining swing states this year are in the “tossed in the air” category.