close
close

Semainede4jours

Real-time news, timeless knowledge

    • Is Trump or Harris winning in the polls? 1 week left until Election Day
    bigrus

    Is Trump or Harris winning in the polls? 1 week left until Election Day

    Harry Posted on

    play

    Election Day There’s only a week left when presidential candidates Democrat Kamala Harris and Republican Donald Trump sit neck-and-neck in the final stretch of the election cycle.

    Recent polls show margins are razor-thin and incredibly close race While the candidates spend the last days of the election on the campaign trails, this time more focus on swing states: Hosting rallies, giving interviews, attending hearings and courting voters with just a week left until Election Day on November 5th.

    All polls have some margin of error and also provide insight into how the presidential election may turn out.

    Who is winning in the polls? Here’s what the data shows.

    Who’s ahead in Ohio right now?

    As of Oct. 29, Trump holds a 51.9% advantage, trailing Harris by 8.4 percentage points based on recent polling data of 43.4%. five thirty eight.

    The site provides an updated average for each candidate in the 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll’s recency, sample size, methodology and institution effects. Poll averages are adjusted for state and national polls.

    Is Kamala Harris or Donald Trump winning in the polls and favored by the odds?

    • ABC News project 538 It shows Harris leading in national polls by 48.1%, or 1.4%, to Trump’s 46.7%; There is a lower gap again this week. This compares to last week with Harris (48.2%) against Trump (46.4%) and Harris (48.5%) against Trump (46.1%) two weeks ago. Before that, the poll had Harris (48.5%) leading Trump (45.9%) three weeks ago, Harris leading Trump 48.5% to 45.8% four weeks ago, and Harris (48.3%) leading Trump It was five weeks ahead of (45.6%). .
    • 270Win National polls show Harris leading by 0.7% with a week to go until Election Day; Last week, against Trump, this rate was 1.8%. Previously, the site had reported that two weeks ago Harris had 2.5% against Trump, three weeks ago Harris had 2.8% against Trump, four weeks ago Harris had 3.7% against Trump, and five percent had Harris against Trump at 2.5%. A week ago, it showed Harris with a 3% lead over Trump.
    • RealClearPolling He favors Trump by 0.1%, unlike last week when Harris was favored by 0.1% over Trump. Previously, RCP had Harris with 1.4% two weeks ago, Harris with 2.0% three weeks ago, Harris with 1.8% against Trump four weeks ago, and Harris with 2.3% against Trump five weeks ago. He chose it a week ago.

    Harris vs. Betting odds for Trump 2024 presidential election

    polymarketA. Crypto trading platform showing odds based on betting trendsTrump’s (66.5%) preference over Harris (33.4%) is a much larger margin than Trump’s (61.4%) over Harris (38.6%) numbers from last week.

    These are not election predictions, but odds that vary depending on the betting behavior of each candidate. Two weeks ago, it was Trump (56.9%) against Harris (42.6%) at Polymarket. Before that, the site favored Trump over Harris by 7.5% three weeks ago, compared to Harris favoring Trump by 2% over Trump four weeks ago and favoring Harris over Trump by 3% five weeks ago.

    Polls and odds are constantly changing. These figures are reflected as of Monday, October 28, 2024.

    How accurate have polls or odds been in past elections?

    Betting favorite has lost only twice since 1866 Speechis a non-profit news organization.

    record in voting This is more difficult because different pollsters asking questions to different audiences can often achieve higher margins of error. According to Pew ResearchConfidence in public opinion polls was damaged by errors in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. In both general elections, many polls underestimated the appeal of Republican Donald Trump.

    Allan Lichtman announces 2024 presidential bid

    presidential historian Allan LichtmanThe 77-year-old is a distinguished professor of history at American University and predicted that Vice President Kamala Harris would win the 2024 presidential election against former President Donald Trump. He claims to use a Set of 13 “keys” They make their choices on a spectrum ranging from economic indicators to the charisma of the candidates.

    Lichtman has correctly predicted the outcome of nearly every election in the last half century, except for the 2000 race in which Republican George W. Bush defeated Democrat Al Gore.

    When is Election Day 2024?

    Election Day Tuesday, November 5.

    Remaining Ohio voting dates

    • 29 October: Deadline for absentee ballot applications.
    • 4 November: Ballots returned by mail must be postmarked by this day.
    • 5 November: Election Day.
    • 9 November: Ballots sent on or before November 4 must reach the election boards by this day in order to be counted.

    Harry
    View all posts

    You Might Also Like