Pony Up

Pittsburgh appears to be undefeated this season and got some more rest after losing to Syracuse on Thursday night last week. Unbeaten SU ​​teams on long rest in their 8th or later game of the season have a 64% SU over the past decade, but are just 46% ATS, including 9-13 ATS when this game is on the road.

The only positive aspect of Pitt’s recent run has been its defense. They threw five interceptions last week and have now allowed fewer than 17 points in back-to-back games. Over the last decade, undefeated teams that have allowed 17 points or fewer in consecutive games to this end of the season have won 83% of SU games, but are 67-50-1 ATS and 64-52-2 in their next game. . This also applies to Oregon and Indiana this week.

The downside for Pitt is that teams that are undefeated as 6-point dogs in games 8 and beyond are 7-27 SU, 14-19-1 ATS and 21-13 underdogs in those games since 2010.

Ames Higher

In his more than 2.5 seasons as head coach of the Red Raiders, this will be the second game that Joey McGuire has coached in a road trip with Texas Tech (second in a row or later on the road). He was an 11-point dog in a 41-31 loss at Oklahoma State in 2022.

Iowa State and Army went undefeated against SU this year and had a bye game in which they lost their final ATS game. Over the last decade, 62% of those teams were SU and over 57% were ATS, going 50-34-1 in those games.

Losing the War

In this matchup against Vanderbilt, Auburn has lost two straight games at home, both SU and ATS. Auburn hasn’t lost three straight games at SU since 2012 – and they haven’t lost three straight games at both SU and ATS home games since 1998.

This season Vanderbilt is 5-0 ATS when listed as the underdog; The team that won the most ATS without a loss this season as an underdog. Vandy was just 2-7 ATS in dogs last year.

in lane

Road favorite Lane Kiffin is 28-8 SU and 19-16-1 ATS as a college head coach. Kiffin is a 14-2 SU and 11-4-1 ATS road favorite since 2019. He lost outright to LSU in his final road game. Kiffin hasn’t lost consecutive road games in the same season since 2018, when he was the head coach of Florida Atlantic.

Historically, Ole Miss has struggled to hold on against the Hogs. The Rebels are 1-10 ATS against Arkansas since 2013, including 8-12 SU and 4-16 ATS in the last 20 years.

Top Dogs

In SEC conference play, the underdogs are 26-11 ATS so far this season; This is the best score of any conference.

The home favorites are 3-15 ATS in SEC conference play this season. It was the worst conference mark for a home team through nine weeks in the SEC since 1990.

Low, Low, Low

How low can you go? Iowa and Wisconsin have scored a combined 21, 34, 34 and 35 points in their last four games, falling under the total in all four games.

The over/unders were: 34.5, 35.5, 34 and 39.5. This year’s version totals over 40.

This is hard to even write, but in eight games this year, Iowa is 7-1 in overs. It’s something you wouldn’t believe after going 21-6 the past three years, the best mark in college football.

The score is 7-0 this season when Iowa is listed as the favorite.

Body Clock

Not only has Stanford lost five straight games at both SU and ATS, but it will also face NC State at Noon ET on the east coast. In the last 20 years, Stanford has played four games at Noon ET, in which they faced 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS, with SU winning as a 30.5-point favorite over Army. In their last two games at this point in 2021 and 2015, they lost by a combined score of 40-13.

Stanford lost its last two away games to Notre Dame and Clemson, 89-21 combined.

Swinney’s Point

Clemson has a week bye before facing Louisville at home in Week 10. The Tigers haven’t lost a straight home game after extended rest since 2010 – they’ve won 15 straight, going 9-6 ATS. Those 15 SU wins were the most without a loss for any school since 2011.

Overall, Clemson has faced Louisville a total of eight times and they are 8-0 SU and 6-2 ATS in those games.