First place in the AFC North is on the line as the Baltimore Ravens (7-3) travel to face the Pittsburgh Steelers (7-2) on Sunday.

Pittsburgh is coming off a comeback win over the Washington Commanders and is a perfect 3-0 under veteran quarterback Russell Wilson. Meanwhile, the Ravens earned a one-point win over the Cincinnati Bengals on Thursday Night Football in Week 10.

Baltimore’s defense has been weak all season, especially against the pass, which could be a problem on the road in Week 11.

Oddsmakers still favor MVP favorite Lamar Jackson and the Ravens in this matchup. But does that mean we should bet on them?

Here’s a breakdown of this match, including a final score prediction for Sunday, using the latest odds and analysis.

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook.

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The Steelers are an impressive 7-2 against the spread this season, picking up a win against Washington in Week 10.

Meanwhile, the Ravens enter this game with a 5-4-1 record against the spread in their first 10 games.

SI Betting’s NFL betting expert Iain MacMillan believes the Steelers can close the gap in this game, and he explained why in his report. Way to Column 272 – where he bets on every NFL game every week:

I may be a little late, but I believe in the Pittsburgh Steelers. Russell Wilson ranks sixth in the NFL in EPA+CPOE composite after his first three starts, so we need to start evaluating him differently than when he was in Denver.

I can’t emphasize enough how important the Ravens defense is. They now rank 27th in the NFL in opponent EPA per play, and their abysmal secondary keeps opponents in the game no matter how much their offense gives them the edge.

I also have some concerns about the Ravens’ discipline. They average 8.0 penalties per game, the second highest in the league, and have the most penalties average with 68.3 penalty yards per game. Give the Steelers free agency and they will take advantage of it.

Finally, the Steelers have one of the most elite run defenses in the league, and the key to stopping the Ravens offense is slowing down their running game. If they can do that, the Steelers will be able to stay with Baltimore.

There’s no question that Baltimore’s defense has been a problem this season. However, Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry appear to have made up for those flaws by putting together many stellar offensive performances.

Don’t be surprised if the Ravens pull off a close win, as Pittsburgh is an NFL-best 19-6-3 as the home underdog since Mike Tomlin took over as head coach in 2007.

Final Score Prediction: Ravens 28, Steelers 27

Rates are updated periodically and may change.

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