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    See projected path, spaghetti patterns

    Harry Posted on

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    Hurricane Rafael, storm beat Cuba this week with 185 mph winds and heavy rains. Not expected to land in the USHowever, the storm will make its presence felt on the US coast by Monday, with high waves and dangerous currents.

    The National Hurricane Center said Rafael regained major hurricane status on Friday, reaching maximum sustained winds of 120 mph, causing waves and high seas in the Gulf of Mexico.

    Hurricane will bring high surf risk with life-threatening rip currents and large waves along the Gulf Coast Beaches in Corpus Christi National Weather Service offices warned Friday that it would move southward across the Florida peninsula through Veterans Day weekend.

    “Surges generated by Rafael are expected to spread across much of the Gulf of Mexico over the next few days. These waves are likely to cause life-threatening waves and disrupt existing conditions,” the National Hurricane Center said in its Friday forecast. he said.

    Wave heights in Corpus Christi are expected to reach up to 8 feet on Friday, then rise to 3 feet over the weekend, the weather service said. along the beaches Alabama and western Florida Panhandle, Breakers up to 7 feet high are expected.

    in it latest advice Early Friday morning, the hurricane center said Rafael, moving westward at Category 3 strength, would begin to weaken and continue to weaken, becoming a tropical storm on Saturday.

    Rafael in Cuba

    Rafael drenched West Cuba and removed the electricity grid of the entire island when it hit the island nation as a Category 3 storm. The power outage it triggered served to intensify the crisis that left many residents without power for more than two weeks In the midst of a series of power grid failures.

    Tens of thousands of people were evacuated ahead of the storm’s arrival, leaving nearly 10 million Cubans without power on Thursday as authorities scrambled to restore power. The country’s state media said some areas had regained electricity but the capital, Havana, remained largely in darkness.

    Additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches were expected on Friday. relative to hurricane centerThe storm produced accumulations totaling 12 inches across parts of western Cuba. This can cause flash floods and mudslides, especially in upland areas.

    Hurricane Rafael: The storm headed to the Gulf after hitting Cuba and collapsing the power grid

    Will Hurricane Rafael hit the USA?

    United States, especially Floridashould take a break Latest forecast from AccuWeather It shows Rafael protecting the central Gulf region.

    Rafael’s westward path will take him away from the United States, according to AccuWeather meteorologists. This would make Rafael the first hurricane to reach the Gulf of Mexico in 2024 and not make landfall in the United States.

    According to AccuWeather, “Rafael’s impacts on the U.S. will be indirect, mostly in the form of rough seas over the Gulf and rough surf along Gulf Coast beaches through this weekend.” “Depending on the moisture content of the feature over the Southwest Gulf, some rain may also occur in South Texas next week.”

    What is Rafael doing in the Gulf of Mexico?

    The center’s current forecast calls for the hurricane to make a small loop in the Gulf by Monday, as at least one model predicted this week.

    At least a dozen storms since 1963 loops of various sizes as they are pushed by larger weather systems. Rafael was guided by a ridge extending from the Atlantic to the Gulf and a trough over the US mainland; This blocked what was once predicted to be approaching the northern Gulf Coast.

    In 1985, Hurricane Elena moved across Cuba, then appeared to be heading toward Florida, before steering currents pushed it into a short loop, eventually making landfall between New Orleans and Mobile, Alabama.

    Hurricane Rafael path tracker

    This forecast track shows the most likely path to the center of the storm. It does not show the full width of the storm or its effects, and the center of the storm is likely to move outside the cone up to 33% of the time.

    Hurricane Rafael spaghetti models

    Illustrations include a range of estimators and models, and not all are created equal. The hurricane center uses only the top four or five highest-performing models to help it make its forecasts.

    (This story has been updated to add new information and a new video.)

    Contributors: Christopher CannUSA TODAY

    Eric Lagatta covers breaking and trending news for USA TODAY. Reach him at [email protected]

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