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Donald Trump’s Black Voter Support Falls, New Poll Says
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Donald Trump’s Black Voter Support Falls, New Poll Says

Former President Donald Trump Just days before Election Day, support from Black voters appears to be waning, according to a poll released Sunday.

According to the final national report NBC News poll of 2024 presidential campaign finds GOP presidential candidate Trump gets just 9 percent of Black support; That’s lower than the 12 percent he received when he ran against him in the 2020 presidential election. Joe Biden.

Meanwhile, Vice President Kamala HarrisThe Democratic presidential candidate leads Black voters with 87 percent, according to an NBC News poll.

The poll, with a sample of 1,001 registered voters, was conducted between Oct. 30 and Nov. 2 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.

news week He reached out to Trump’s campaign via email for comment.

Sunday’s poll comes as both candidates struggle to win over Black voters and other key groups; because even small shifts in support could have consequences in a race that looks set to be decided by razor-thin margins in battleground states.

Harris, the daughter of Jamaican and Indian immigrants, had previously announced a plan to give Black men more opportunities amid concerns some might opt ​​out or support Trump. The plan offers assistance to Black entrepreneurs to start businesses and establish mentoring programs; among other things, such as education and the launch of a National Health Equity Initiative focused on Black men. He came after the former president Barack Obama I suggested this last month some Black men “don’t feel like the idea of ​​having a woman as president.”

Meanwhile, Trump has made gains among Black voters throughout all three presidential elections. Between the 2016 and 2020 elections, Black vote share increased by 4 points, from 8 percent to 12 percent.

A. New York Times/Siena College’s survey last month suggested Trump was having some success Winning over black voters. The survey of 589 Black voters between September 29 and October 6 found that 78 percent of Black voters plan to vote for Harris, while 15 percent support Trump.

Donald Trump
Former President Donald Trump speaks at a campaign rally in Milwaukee on November 1. A poll released Sunday shows Trump’s declining support from Black voters just days before Election Day.

KAMIL KRZACZYNSKI / AFP/Getty Images

But other more recent surveys show earnings declining.

A poll conducted last month by Howard University’s Public Opinion Initiative found that 83 percent of black respondents plan to vote for Harris, while only 8 percent support Trump.

The survey of 981 black likely voters was conducted between Oct. 2 and Oct. 8 in battleground states such as Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. The poll’s margin of error was plus or minus 3.2 percentage points.

“I actually think the polls are overestimating Trump’s support among Black people,” said Katherine Tate, a political science professor at Brown University and author of From Protest to Politics: The New Black Voters in America’s Electionsit has been said before news week.

Meanwhile, Janiyah Thomas, the Trump campaign’s Black media relations director it has been said before news week that the campaign is focused on getting results rather than chasing polls.

“We know this fight is not easy, but Team Trump is committed to bringing him back to the White House to continue this progress, lower costs, create jobs and ensure Black Americans have the opportunity to thrive again,” Thomas said.

A poll released last month by the National Association for the Advancement of Colored People (NAACP) showed that 63 percent (13 percent) of Black voters preferred Harris over Trump. However, gender inequality is striking. While support for Harris among Black women remains strong at 67 percent, among Black men under 50 the rate drops to 49 percent.

Another recent survey conducted by YouGov GIS The news found Harris has similar support From Black voters, as Biden did in 2020. This poll, conducted between October 8 and 11, found that 87 percent of Black voters support Harris and 12 percent support Trump.