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President betting odds from Smarkets, 538, Betfair and more
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President betting odds from Smarkets, 538, Betfair and more

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Donald Trump is still ahead, but Kamala Harris is making her move.

At least this Betting Odds Data from Real Net Survey he says.

It is still important that RCP’s favorite Trump is between 58.3 and 40.3. However, it is not as high as it was yesterday, where it was above 61 percent.

It is also tightening in all markets.

Trump leads 58% to 42% at BetOnline. Betfair scored 57-42, while Betsson, Bovada and Bwin scored 60-40. Polymarket has 56-40. Smarkets’ score is 57-40.

Trump is still favored in every market, but Harris has made inroads with every bettor.

Harris has an advantage on PredictIt. Harris has a 51-49 percent favorite.

As with all election season, these numbers will change.

Trump emerged as the heavy favorite for President Joe Biden over the summer, but Democrats reversed course and nominated Vice President Harris to run against former president Trump. Harris took the lead shortly after receiving the nomination and held that lead for nearly a month. However, Trump has been leading the betting markets since the beginning of October.

Even though Trump has a significant favorite in the odds, the polls don’t say the same.

ABC News shows Harris leading 48-46.8, and 270towin shows Harris with a small lead heading into the weekend before the election.

Bettors place Trump’s odds of winning higher than in previous elections

Trump’s odds of winning are now just a few points below the campaign high reached on the opening day of the Republican National Convention. On July 16, the odds of beating Biden were over 70% on Polymarket and Betfair Exchange.

The team, which was the clear betting favorite in the month before the election, had lost only twice, in 1916 and 1948, according to a 2004 article in the Journal of Economic Perspectives. Betting markets also failed to predict Trump’s victory in 2016.

-Jim Sergent

A lot of money was invested in the election

Although it was previously banned in the United States, Americans legally bet more than $100 million on this election, according to NPR.