It is officially election month and Presidential election polls suggests former President Donald Trump may be ahead of the Vice President Kamala Harris Among national voters.

While national polls take voters’ temperatures, Electoral College system means the race will likely be decided by: seven battleground states. Exclusive USA TODAY/Suffolk poll out Friday shows Harris and Trump tied Pennsylvania, swing state with the most electoral votes.

Trump visits two more people “blue wall” It notes that rallies are planned in Wisconsin and Michigan on Friday. Harris also plans to visit Wisconsin.

Here’s what you need to know about where the race stands.

Election 2024 live updates: Trump attacked Cheney and called him a ‘war hawk’

Trump trails Harris by 2 percent in AtlasIntel’s new poll

Trump leads Harris by two percentage points in a new national poll AtlasIntel It was released on Thursday afternoon.

The poll, conducted with the participation of 3,490 likely voters across the US, showed Trump ahead of Harris with a two-point margin of error, from 49.1 percent to 47.2 percent. When asked to choose between candidates in a race without third-party options, 49.6 percent of respondents said they would vote for Trump and 48.2 percent said they would vote for Harris.

The survey was conducted on Wednesdays and Thursdays. AtlasIntel is expected to conduct more polls before Election Day.

Trump narrowly leads in latest TIPP poll

TIPP Follow-up Survey It shows Trump taking a one-percentage point lead on Friday after tying with Harris on Thursday.

The latest poll of 1,249 likely voters showed Trump leading Harris 49% to 48%. The poll, conducted Tuesday through Thursday, had a margin of error of 2.7 percentage points.

“(The poll) shows a tight and steady race, with each candidate poised for a smooth, close landing,” TIPP said. he said. Pollsters expect the numbers to range from Harris +1 to Trump +2 in the final days before the election.

Things to consider when voting

The margin of error defines how accurately we can trust that survey results represent the entire population.

When a candidate’s difference is “within” the margin of error, it is considered a “statistical tie.” Pew Research Center.

Pew also has It found that the majority of pollsters have changed their methods since the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, when Trump’s performance was significantly underestimated.

Kinsey Crowley is a trending news reporter for USA TODAY. Reach him at [email protected] and follow him on X and TikTok @kinseycrowley.

This article first appeared on USA TODAY: 2024 presidential election polls: Latest polls between Harris and Trump