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North Carolina presidential poll shows Harris and Trump in a tie: SurveyUSA
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North Carolina presidential poll shows Harris and Trump in a tie: SurveyUSA

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Vice President Kamala Harris And former President Donald Trump Shows deadlock among likely voters in North Carolina PollUSA/WRAL The survey was released on Tuesday.

The poll of 853 likely voters, conducted online between October 23 and 26 and published a full week before Election Day, had 47% supporting both candidates, while 2% of respondents said they would vote for a third-party candidate. 4% undecided. The result is well within the survey’s 4.1 percentage point margin of error.

SurveyUSA said the most recent poll of North Carolina voters was conducted in September and showed Harris ahead of Trump 49 percent to 46 percent, with a margin of error of 4.9 percentage points.

Harris leads by 3% among poll respondents who had already voted. Those who said they planned to vote by mail preferred Harris by 4%, and there was also a tie among those who voted early in person. While 3 percent of those who said they planned to vote on Election Day supported Trump, the rate of those who said they would wait until the last day was 8 percent. He said they were undecided..

Harris ahead by 7% among women Among survey respondents, Trump leads among men by 6%.

Harris leads the survey with 11 percent among registered voters without party affiliation and 4 percent among those who say they consider themselves independent.

Partisan support for the candidates was nearly equal; 94% of registered Republicans supported Trump, while 4% went for Harris. While Harris had 92% support among registered Democrats, there was greater support. undecided Democratic voters Registered Republican undecideds are at 3% compared to 1%.

One in five respondents told pollsters they were affected by this situation Hurricane Helene While they preferred Trump by 1 percent, those who said they were not affected by the storm preferred Harris by the same margin.

Things to consider when voting

A survey’s margin of error describes how accurately we can trust that the survey results are representative of the entire population.

When a candidate’s lead is “within” the margin of error, it is considered a “statistical tie.” Pew Research Center.

Pew also has It found that the majority of pollsters had changed their methods since the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, when Trump’s performance was significantly underestimated.

National polls generally show candidates running for the popular vote, but the election will likely be determined by seven swing states. Electoral College system. recently Bloomberg News/Morning Advisory The poll of the swing states also shows that the candidates are in a tied race.