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    • Polls show Donald Trump continues to lead Kamala Harris in Arizona
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    Polls show Donald Trump continues to lead Kamala Harris in Arizona

    Harry Posted on

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    Former President Donald Trump maintains a narrow lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in most recent presidential polls in Arizona.

    Trump’s lead was within the margin of error in a pair of polls taken in mid-October, meaning the race was essentially tied until Nov. 5.

    Election day is next week, and many Arizonans have already cast their ballots by mail. Trump and Harris will be in the state later this week to make their closing arguments to Arizona voters for campaign events on Halloween.

    Although October is an eventful month for politics, a survey by Marist College found that the race remained largely unchanged from September to October. Trump maintained his sharp lead last month, and voters’ views of each candidate remained the same.

    What do the latest polls say?

    Trump had a narrow lead over Harris in Arizona pollster’s survey HighGround Public Relations. Trump’s support among Arizona voters was 46.8 percent, while Harris had 46.2 percent.

    The poll of 400 likely voters was conducted Oct. 19-20 and had a margin of error of 4.9 percentage points.

    Trump led Harris in the last election too Marist SurveyThat left the GOP candidate ahead by percentage points among Arizona likely voters. In the survey of 1,193 Arizona voters between October 17 and 22, Trump received 50 percent support and Harris received 49 percent support.

    The margin of error was plus or minus 3.7 percentage points.

    Harris had a slight lead over Trump in the poll of registered voters. Arizona Policy Lab at the University of Arizona School of Government and Public Policy.

    Among registered Arizona voters, a larger pool of likely voters, Harris received 46.2% support and Trump received 45.5% support. 846 registered voters participated in the survey between October 12 and 20. It had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.36 percentage points.

    What has changed?

    Trump’s slight lead remained the same last month, according to a report September survey from Marist College. The former president had 50% support in that poll and Harris had 49%; this was the same result as the school’s October survey.

    The favorability ratings for each of the candidates also remained about the same, according to the Marist poll. While 46 percent of Arizona residents had a positive view of Trump in the October poll, 47 percent had the same view in September. The percentage of residents with an unfavorable view of Trump increased by one point from September to October, from 49% to 50%.

    The percentage of likely Arizona residents with a positive opinion of Harris remained the same at 47% from September to October. The percentage of residents who viewed him unfavorably increased from 48% in September to 49% in October.

    What else should voters know?

    Harris has support from nearly two-thirds of Native American voters in Arizona, as both campaigns support tribal votes, according to a new poll commissioned by Northern Arizona University and the Democrat-led Citizens for New Arizona PAC.

    Among these voters, Harris received 64 percent support and Trump 29 percent. More than half of voters, 57 percent, said they believe Harris and Democrats “care a lot” about the Native American community, while only 23 percent said the same about Trump. Additionally, 22 percent said Trump and Republicans were “hostile” toward their community.

    Native American voters named the economy and inflation as the most important issues this election cycle, mirroring voters in statewide Arizona polls.

    Democratic pollster BSP Research conducted the survey, which was released Friday to coincide with Biden’s trip to Arizona. BSP co-founder Matt Baretto is serving as a pollster for the Harris campaign. Former Rep. Karan English, D-Ariz., is a member of the board of directors of the Citizens of New Arizona PAC.

    The poll found that Native Americans overwhelmingly (90%) support the federal government issuing a public apology and “acknowledging the horrific history of Indian Residential Schools.”

    59 percent said they would view the Biden administration more favorably if officials traveled to Indian Country in Arizona to acknowledge this history and apologize, while 29% said it would have no impact.

    The survey surveyed 400 Native American voters across Arizona from Oct. 19-23. The poll’s margin of error is plus or minus 4.9%.

    Harry
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