it was nice to see Nick Chubb We returned to action last week. He showed some of the explosiveness he had before suffering a devastating knee injury, but it may still take him a few games to regain his form. It’s also possible that he won’t be able to return to his pre-injury elite level.

Chubb averaged over 5 yards per carry in each of his six seasons, but it’s hard to imagine he’ll do that again at this stage of his career, especially since browns‘ The offensive line isn’t that good this year (26th in ESPN run block win rate). They suffered injuries and LT Jedrick Wills Jr. He will not be able to play this week due to a knee injury.

This is also a brutal encounter for Chubb. ravens We only allowed 2 RBs to rush for 13+ yard gains all season.

Chubb should see his usage increase this week, but he may not get as many carries in a more predominant, trailing game scenario against the Ravens.

He usually runs outside, but last week he ran 66% of his runs indoors, which was a little out of character. If it continues like this, it will become even harder to break a longer run because the Ravens are better defenders on inside runs.

I mirror Chubb’s median longest rush He’s closer to 11 (which would make him just the third RB all season to rush for 10+ yards against Baltimore), but there’s about a 60% chance he’ll stay under 12.5 since every yard in this market is huge.

Terrion Arnold, lionsThe team, which received a first-round draft pick from Alabama this year, reached only 3.5 steals and assists in two of six games.

The two times he went, it was against the law. Aries At week 1, both Cooper Kupp/Puka Nacua was healthy and had it together for 18 receptions and on week 4 SeahawksThe trio of WRs combined for 20 receptions. These are the types of games in which Arnold can exceed this number.

However, he is not involved in run defense, making only a single interception in the run game all season. titans It is a team that provides tackles to CBs at one of the lowest rates.

Arnold defends outside most of the time, so he’ll cover both Calvin Ridley or Nick Westbrook-Ikhine in most photos. This isn’t going to lead to a ton of tackle opportunities.

Actually Titans with Mason Rudolph (assuming) Will Levis (not playing) is only expected to make around 20 passes; that’s about 5-5.5 less than the Lions usually allow.

I predict Arnold will get close to a 2.7 steal and assist ratio, with about a 70% chance of falling under that (22% chance of getting exactly three).

Tyler Allgeier Bijan RobinsonSince it is a backup of , its workload is very dependent on the game scenario.

Last week, hawks He was blown out by the Seahawks, so Robinson dominated the job and Allgeier only had five carries, although he did manage to get a 24-yard run.

He’s a very efficient runner and this is a great matchup for him because the Falcons are slight favorites here (-2.5) so we could get a more run-heavy game scenario.

Bucs He has a pretty solid run defense and ranks 9th in DVOA. But they tend to be much better in domestic runs. Oh life I help fill those rushes.

According to NextGenStats, the Bucs struggle against outside runs and allow more rushing yards than expected. This sets it up perfectly for Allgeier, who runs outside at the third-highest rate among qualified RBs. Slot CB Tykee Smith is also out; He was good in run defense this year.

I prefer this market over Allgeier’s yards because it’s always difficult trying to predict how much business it will get, but I think it’s a safer bet to get screwed at least once in the long run.

I predict he will average close to 14 yards and have a 60% passing chance.