close
close

Semainede4jours

Real-time news, timeless knowledge

We break down another ridiculous Patrick Mahomes measurement
bigrus

We break down another ridiculous Patrick Mahomes measurement

Everyone take a breath and say these six words together: Chiefs 6-0. That was nice, wasn’t it? after a while 28-18 victory without any problems Against the 49ers in San Francisco on Sunday, the Chiefs became the NFL’s only team undefeated after six weeks despite a growing injury list. While only time will tell if the Chiefs can win their war of attrition due to injuries, it’s safe to say the season couldn’t have started better for Kansas City when it comes to the win-loss column.

Speaking of wins and losses, the Chiefs came into Sunday’s game against the 49ers trailing by 1.5 points. Most teams experience the extra impact of being a road dog multiple times a season, but it’s a much less common occurrence for Kansas City in the Patrick Mahomes era. In fact, this happens in a surprisingly short time; In Mahomes’ 102 career starts, the Chiefs have lost just 14 times. For those who aren’t good at doing sane math or have temporarily lost their phone, that’s only 13.7% of the time.

Needless to say, it’s a pretty rare occurrence for the Chiefs to bet on the underdogs, but it does happen from time to time. There are rarer things in the world of sports. For example, in the modern era of North America’s four major professional sports leagues, there were only 7 teams that managed to become 3-peat champions in their respective leagues. While the Chiefs are working to make this 8, overall the odds of that happening are pretty low to say the least. There’s also the rarest event in all of sports; Raiders selecting No. 1.

But Chiefs’ luck winning The matches they find themselves underdogs there are at the other end of the probability spectrum. Mahomes and the Chiefs are 12-1-1 against the spread (ATS) and 11-3 straight in their 14 games as an underdog. This is a mind-blowing 92.3% ATS success rate and a direct success rate of 78.6%. Here’s some context to paint a picture of how impressive this is.

Steph Curry is almost unanimously considered the best shooter in basketball history. His career three-point shooting percentage is not the highest in league history, but it is an impressive 42.6%. However, his free throw percentage is the best in NBA history. This percentage? 91%. So Steph Curry’s chances of making a free throw are statistically less likely than Mahomes and the Chiefs’ chances of closing the gap as underdogs.

Baltimore Ravens Justin Tucker is a historically accurate placekicker. When the Ravens’ msssfsfssff offense couldn’t produce much, the joke for years was: “Just get it to 50 and Tucker will do the rest.” While he has been a touch questionable at times over the last few years, his career field goal percentage is 90.2%. Hall of fame worthy, but not as outstanding against the spread as Mahomes.

You have a 60.2% chance of having a job, a 65.6% chance of owning a house, an 87% chance of graduating from high school, and a 92% chance of owning a car. None of these seemingly common occurrences occur with the same consistency as the spread of Mahomes and the Chiefs’ caps when Vegas decides to put them in the doghouse.

It would be old hat to call Patrick Mahomes a legend, but statistics like these continue to grow his legend. The Chiefs’ 2024 season is scheduled for Phase II. While there are plenty of question marks to resolve on their roster as they move into their pitch, the ridiculousness of Mahomes’ ability to win continues to impress.