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    • The Atlantic basin is quiet. Tropical threat to the Caribbean?
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    The Atlantic basin is quiet. Tropical threat to the Caribbean?

    Harry Posted on

    A track toward Florida is possible, but most storms this time of year move toward Central America or Cuba/Bahamas.

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    The good news in the tropics continues, but conditions in the Caribbean Sea may favor the development of Tropical Storm Patty late next week.

    The same cannot be said for the Eastern Pacific. Hurricane Kristy As of 11 a.m. EDT, it has weakened from a Category 4 storm with sustained winds of 150 mph to a Category 3 storm with winds of 195 mph.

    National Hurricane Center’s tropical outlook map There is no disturbance in the Atlantic basin on Friday and no disturbance is expected in the next seven days. However, conditions may change at any time and residents, especially those living in the area Florida’s hard blow — should always watch the tropics.

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    There is a high probability that it will happen now tropical depression or storm It forms in late October and early November as forecasters focus on the western and central Caribbean, according to AccuWeather.

    The next named storms of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season will be Patty and Rafael.

    Atlantic Hurricane season ends November 30But storms can and have formed after this date and even before June 1, when hurricane season officially begins.

    Here is NHC’s latest warning as of 11:00 on Friday, October 25:

    Tropical Storm Roll? Will Florida see another storm or hurricane?

    AccuWeather forecasters focus on the western and central Caribbean Sea. the next tropical threat. There is a moderate chance of a tropical depression or storm forming in these waters in late October and early November.

    AccuWeather Chief said, “I know there will be showers and thunderstorms in this area next week. Wind shear is the question. If we get low wind shear as we expect, I think a tropical depression or storm will form.” Live Meteorologist Bernie Rayno said.

    “Tropical storms that form in this region in late October and early November tend to move toward Central America or possibly north-northeast toward Cuba, Hispaniola and the Bahamas,” AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Alex Sosnowski said.

    “But a route to Florida or the southeastern mainland U.S. is out of the question this early,” and residents of the southeastern U.S., along with those in the Caribbean and Mexico, are encouraged to monitor the tropics and remain prepared.

    What else is out there and how likely are they to get stronger?

    As of 8 a.m., the National Hurricane Center was not tracking any tropical disturbances in the Atlantic basin, which consists of the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico.

    While there’s nothing on the tropical outlook map, NHC forecasters said there are three tropical waves in the Caribbean, including:

    • Western Atlantic: Just east of the Wind Islands, there is a tropical wave lying south of 15N, with an axis near 58W and moving westward at 11 to 17 miles per hour.
    • Caribbean Sea: A tropical wave in the central Caribbean extends south of 18N with an axis near 74W. It is moving west at 18 miles per hour.
    • Near Africa: A new tropical wave emerged off the coast of Africa this morning. It extends from 08N to 19N, with the axis just east of Cape Verde. The wave is moving at 6 to 11 mph.

    Who is likely to be affected?

    Forecasters urge all residents to continue monitoring the tropics and always be prepared.

    Hurricane Kristy in the Pacific is weakening

    At 11 a.m. EDT, Hurricane Kristy was located 1,785 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California.

    Maximum sustained winds are 125 mph, and the tornado is moving west-northwest at 14 mph.

    Rapid weakening is expected over the next few days, and Kristy is expected to strengthen into a post-tropical cyclone on Sunday.

    Effects: Waves caused by Kristy will affect parts of the west coast of the Baja California peninsula starting today and into the weekend. These waves are likely to cause life-threatening surf and disrupt existing conditions.

    Hurricane Kristy spaghetti models

    Special note about spaghetti models: Spaghetti model drawings include a range of estimators and models, and not all are created equal. The Hurricane Center uses only the top four or five top-performing models to help make its forecasts.

    Weather watches and warnings issued in Florida

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    When is Atlantic hurricane season?

    Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30.

    The Atlantic basin includes the northern Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico.

    Countdown clock: When will hurricane season end?

    Interactive map: Hurricanes and tropical storms passing near your city

    What’s next?

    We will continue to update our tropical weather coverage daily. Download your local site’s app to make sure you’re always connected to the news. And call for us special subscription offers here.

    (This story has been updated to add new information.)

    Harry
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