Republican candidate Donald Trump Narrowly leads Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris is in aggregator RealClearPolling’s national polling average for the first time since August.

Earlier Monday, Trump was ahead by a wide margin; Trump had a 0.1 point lead at 48.5 percent compared to Harris’ 48.4 percent.

Polls measure the popular vote. A candidate could win it, but still lose the election if he or she fails to receive 270 of the 538 Electoral College votes (a number based on each state’s delegates in the electoral college). Senate And House of Representatives. As of Monday morning, Trump will win the Electoral College 54 times out of 100, while Harris will win 45 times out of 100, according to FiveThirtyEight’s simulations of the Electoral College results.

Trump’s narrow lead contrasts with his attitude towards his then-rival, the President Joe Biden this time during the 2020 election. At the same point in the race, Biden was ahead by a comfortable 7.5 points. According to RealClearPolling’s average at the time, Trump received 43.6 percent support and Biden 51.1 percent.

Then-Democratic candidate in 2016 Hillary Clinton He was ahead by 4.6 points, with 47.1 percent support to Trump’s 42.5 percent, but Trump would go on to win that election.

“President Trump is working harder than Kamala Harris, and voters know that America can no longer survive under Kamala’s destructive policies of soaring inflation, a runaway border, and rampant crime that terrorizes every community,” a Trump campaign spokesperson said.

news week He also contacted the Harris campaign for comment via email outside of standard business hours.

But other major aggregators of national polls found Harris marginally ahead.

As of early Monday, FiveThirtyEight’s national average had 48.1 percent support for Harris and 46.7 percent support for Trump. Nate SilverOn the Silver Bulletin blog, Harris received 48.6 percent of the vote and Trump 47.4 percent.

Totals of betting odds They support Trump right now.

Rate setters give: Republican As of Monday morning, the chance of winning is 61.1 percent, while Harris’ chances are 37.7 percent.

As for the crucial swing states, Trump currently has a slight lead in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Nevada and Arizona, while Harris has a lead in Michigan and Wisconsin.

Trump ahead of Harris in Pennsylvania Last week, Republicans had the advantage in the Keystone State for the first time since July.

Trump led Biden in the state before dropping out of the race in July. Democratic presidential candidate Harris has been marginally ahead since then, but last Monday FiveThirtyEight’s national average had Trump ahead of Harris by 0.3 points.

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