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Fantasy Football Week 11 Starter Seating Decisions: Jauan Jennings is legal
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Fantasy Football Week 11 Starter Seating Decisions: Jauan Jennings is legal

quarterback

Starter: Bo Nix, Broncos

We’re back to Nix SZN after a brief setback in his showdown with the Chiefs; He had scored two points in this game, still without a pick. The Week 11 matchup with the Falcons is much more positive. The Falcons rank 21st in EPA per return allowed. Only six teams allowed more fantasy points to quarterbacks. This is largely due to them allowing the third-most rushing yards to passers. Nix ranks in the top five in rushing yards among point guards.

Starter: Jared Goff, Lions

The Jags are among the best matchups in the league for opposing passers. They allowed the third-most fantasy points to QBs and were last in EPA per dropback allowed. Vegas is buying the Lions’ upcoming upset of the Jags by a total of 30.5 points. This is the highest on-field number in the league. For those worried that the implosion will be bad for business: Goff has thrown six goals in his two games this year and has the margin of victory on three possessions.

Seating: Anthony Richardson, Colts

It’s great to see the Colts giving their young passer another chance. Joe Flacco wasn’t giving them a chance to win now, so going back to Richardson was their only option. However, we may be forgetting just how bad Richardson was as a fantasy option before being benched. He topped out with 212 passing yards in six starts and had a high-scoring game, including rushing touchdowns. Speaking of rushing production, Richardson’s performance was good but not enough to make up for his poor passing numbers. He averaged 40 yards a week rushing. As a result, Richardson ranks QB32 in fantasy points per game this season.

Seating: Geno Smith, Seahawks

The San Francisco matchup has been a nightmare for Geno since joining the Seahawks.

He was held to under 200 yards in half of his games with the 49ers and had over 238 yards in one game. Smith has two touchdowns and five picks against San Francisco. Unsurprisingly, the 49ers’ consistently elite pass rushing is a problem for Geno. They have the 10th-highest pressure rate this year and the third-highest rate on non-blitz plays, meaning they can disrupt quarterbacks without wasting coverage resources. Smith ranks 23rd in the league in yards per yards under pressure and easily leads the league with nine interceptions.

Running Back

Starter: Audric Estime, Broncos

Estime took over Denver’s backfield last week and led the trio of himself, Javonte Williams and Jaleel McLaughlin in snap share (45 percent) as running backs went 14-of-17. After the game, Sean Payton gave Estime another vote of confidence.

In a limited sample, Estime leads the backfield with 3.7 yards per attempt after contact. Williams has 2.4 points and McLaughlin has 2.6 points, leaving both outside the top 40 runners. The projection is the team’s top option at running back, and Payton seems fully convinced.

Starter: Aaron Jones, Vikings

Sam Darnold’s struggles forced the Vikings to abandon their pass-heavy nature. Over the past three weeks, the Vikings have recorded an above-expected pass rate of -1%.

They had +5% PROE going into Week 8. The change in style has resulted in more work for Jones, who has averaged 21.7 touches per game in his last three games. Week 11, when his team was favored by six points over the Titans, was a tipping point for the former Packer.

Seating: D’Andre Swift, Bears

You can divide Swift’s performances into two categories – Caleb Williams was good and Caleb Williams was bad – and you can easily predict his fantastic output.

Rush Initiatives Rushing Fields Rush Tank Destroyer receptions Rec. Metre PPR Points
Williams > 6 MONTHS/A 16.8 69.3 0.8 3.8 42.3 19.4
Williams < 6 MONTHS/A 14.8 57.4 0.2 2.2 12.2 10.4

Williams has ranked near dead last in all efficiency metrics over the last three weeks and has given us no reason to bet on a comeback. Swift’s fate rests with Williams, and that ship is sinking right now.

Sitting: Najee Harris, Steelers

With Jaylen Warren back in the lineup and averaging over a dozen touches per week, Harris’ RB2 status depends entirely on the game script. Harris’ route rate was 50 percent and his target share through five weeks was 13 percent; Most of Warren has either hobbled or fallen by the wayside entirely. Since his return, these figures have fallen to 31 percent and 6 percent respectively. As a three-point underdog to the funnel Ravens, this isn’t the week we should expect the Steelers to move Harris.

Update: Jaylen Warren is questionable for Week 11. If he leaves, Harris’ situation will remain clear. Even if rejected, Harris will be a high-risk RB3 at best.

Wide Receiver

Starter: Jauan Jennings, 49ers

In two games with a route rate above 80 percent, Jennings’ target share is 37 percent and 42 percent. The 49ers were as close to power as they could be in Week 11, and Jennings ran a route on 95 percent of Purdy’s comebacks. He paced the team with seven catches for 93 yards. As always, the 49ers are ranked by Vegas as one of the highest scoring teams of the week. Their team total of 27.25 is behind only the Lions. Currently playing a full-time, high-volume role, Jennings appears to be one of the biggest beneficiaries of the 49ers’ high-scoring game.

Starter: Jameson Williams, Lions

One of the most notable reasons why the Jaguars are a no-brainer matchup for quarterbacks is their inability to prevent big gains. The Jags have allowed the second-most explosive plays (gains of 15+ yards) and the second-deepest completions (at least 20 DOTs) this year. Despite missing two games, Williams leads the Lions in yards (139) and touchdowns on deep targets (two). Goff/Williams stacks for all marbles in DFS this week.

Seating: Brian Thomas Jr., Jaguars

On the other end of the spectrum, Brian Thomas Jr. is focused on the Jaguars’ passing attack with no hope of creating a big play. Mac Jones made 4.5 percent of his deep throws in Week 10. That’s three times lower than Trevor Lawrence’s deep throw rate. Jones fumbled on his only deep attempt of the day. Jones has a noodling arm in film and spreadsheets. We can quietly relegate Thomas to the bench until Lawrence returns.

Seating: DJ Moore, Bears

The Bears’ recent offensive spiral has been well documented, including on the Rotoworld Football Show.

Moore further compounds the problem with a lack of goals. He ranks third on the team in target share over the last three weeks with 23 percent. His 24 percent air share is 10 percent below Keenan Allen and 13 percent behind Rome Odunze. Without many targets to fall back on, Moore fell out of the WR2 rankings this week.

Tight End

Start: Taysom Hill, Saints

Hill posted a career-high target share (19 percent) two weeks ago and is on pace for a career-high in route rate (63 percent). With Chris Olave, Rashid Shaheed and Bub Means sidelined, Hill has been relegated to a prominent role in the air. On top of that, backup running backs Kendre Miller and Jamaal Williams are also struggling, and Hill is gifted the RB2 role. He has nine carries for 33 yards and a touchdown in the last two weeks.

Starter: Mark Andrews, Ravens

Isaiah Likely returned this week and responded with some coolness to the idea of ​​Andrews being a starter. While he should probably move back to the bottom of the TE1 rankings, he’s most likely earned his spot in the top 12 with our inactive list.

Andrews’ role hit rock bottom in Week 4 and rebounded over the following month. From Week 6 through Week 9 (ignoring the likely missed play), Andrews earned 16 percent of the Ravens’ targets and 27 percent of the team’s end zone looks. These marks will rank 15th and fourth for the entire year. Andrews averaged 13.7 PPR points per game during that stretch. Lamar Jackson’s MVP-level play and the increase in passing volume on offense is enough to keep Andrews in the TE1 rankings this week.

Sit: Jake Ferguson, Cowboys

We don’t need to do this to ourselves. Unless a player catching Cooper Rush’s passes is named CeeDee Lamb, don’t put him on your fantasy roster. While Ferguson ranked 13th in target share among tight ends, he fell to 20th in airfield share. He’s still looking for his first end zone goal of the year, and that’s likely to happen without center Dak Prescott.

Seating: Dalton Schultz, Texans

Like Ferguson, Schultz doesn’t see the ball well enough to overcome both his own inefficiencies and offensive difficulties. The senior tight end has a 15 percent target share, well below Ferguson, and is averaging a terrible 1.0 yards per route run. Schultz is closer to “cut” than “start” this week.