It’s hard to imagine We oppose Trump’s proposal. Who wants to help murderers and drug dealers who enter the country illegally stay in the United States? But we’ve seen a lot of talk that Trump’s deportation plans go far, far beyond criminals and will ultimately lead to the removal of 10 million, 15 million, perhaps even 20 million people. Part of this is media hysteria. But some of this is due to the loose talk of Trump and his advisers. One Time magazine interview In particular, the interviewer in April seemed to want Trump to announce that he would send immigrants to detention camps. After several questions, Trump finally said, “I’m not going to rule anything out.” This, of course, led to speculation that Trump would send immigrants to detention camps.

But Trump’s plan was clearly visible for a while. First, the new administration will try to quickly deport illegal immigrants who are considered a national security threat. It will also go after illegal immigrants with criminal records in the United States or another country. And, by the way, it will give priority to illegal immigrants whose cases have already been adjudicated and ordered to be removed.

“You focus on public safety threats and first national security threats because those are the worst of the worst,” Tom Homan, recently dubbed Trump’s “border czar” he said over the weekend on Fox News. “So the worst will happen first. It has to be done this way. We know that a record number of people on the terrorist watch list have crossed that line. We know that a record number of terrorists have been released in this country. We have already arrested some of those planning the attack. So look, the President was completely clear when he said that criminal threats, threats to national security would be prioritized. And this is how it will be.”

There is a clear guide to doing this. Last year, Immigration and Customs Enforcement reported As of September 30, 2023, there were 1,292,830 people in the United States illegally who had gone through all legal processes and received a final deportation order from an immigration judge. It is estimated that this number increased to between 1.35 and 1.6 million in the following year.

vast majority None of these people are detained. But they have final deportation orders, so it’s possible they could be deported at any time. Only the Biden administration did not remove them. “They were subject to deportation proceedings before immigration judges because they either entered illegally, overstayed, or committed a crime in the United States,” said Andrew Arthur, a former Immigration and Naturalization Service official, Capitol Hill attorney and current immigration judge. with Center for Migration ResearchThis supports stricter enforcement of immigration law. “Some have sought asylum. Some have made no claims at all. Some may have arrived years ago and have been on file for decades.”

Arthur said the US has the resources Layoffs of approximately 400,000 people per year. With more resources and determination, this number could rise to 600,000. So even if the second Trump administration gets off to a flying start, and Trump is determined to do so, it could take years for those whose cases have been adjudicated to be removed from office. In doing so, Trump officials will likely use the same priorities; National security threats and criminals will take priority. The focus can then be on those who have most recently received a restraining order. For those on the list who were ordered deported decades ago but never left, authorities will have to decide what to do on a case-by-case basis.

Will Trump’s deportation proceedings go beyond this? Has this group of 1.35 to 1.6 million been ordered removed? Remember that many more millions crossed into the US illegally during the Biden years. What to do with them? The vast majority do not have a valid asylum claim or any legal right to remain in the United States

Ironically, It is possible that the second Trump administration will be based on a document known as: Mayorkas Memorandum to decide these cases. On September 30, 2021, as the border offensive moved into high gear, Biden Department of Homeland Security chief Alejandro Mayorkas sent the administration’s top immigration officials a set of directives for enforcing immigration law. In the memo, Mayorkas laid out rules for deporting illegal immigrants.

“We will prioritize capture and removal.” “Non-citizens who pose a threat to our national security, public safety, and border security,” Mayorkas wrote. The first group was terrorists and spies. The second was criminals. The third group was threats to border security. “The capture and deportation of a noncitizen who poses a threat to border security is a priority,” Mayorkas wrote. “A noncitizen shall be arrested if (a) he is apprehended at the border or port of entry while attempting to unlawfully enter the United States; or (b) are arrested after illegally entering the United States after November 1, 2020.”

If Trump had applied The Nov. 1, 2020, Mayorkas standard would have a basis for reversing a significant portion of Biden’s border rush to deport those who recently crossed into the U.S. illegally. “Removing these people is already a priority,” Arthur says, “so Trump can say we are doing what he says the Biden administration is doing.”

If Trump actually does any of this – that is, if national security threats increase deportations by focusing on criminals and new entrants, this will have a strong deterrent effect on people in foreign countries considering illegal entry into the United States. The United States, which has the least connection to this country, will leave on its own.

Trump’s actions, if they occur, It could definitely be described as a “mass deportation” as it would require the deportation of perhaps 1 million people. This would certainly be “the deportation of the greatest criminals in American history.” On the one hand, this will not please Trump supporters who want to deport everyone in the United States illegally. After all, every illegal border crosser has violated U.S. law by entering the country illegally. On the other hand, priority deportations would mean a significant restoration of the rule of law at the US border, and that would be a very good thing.