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Who is ahead in the polls? When will we find out who won Trump-Harris?

Harry November 6, 2024

The much-anticipated Election Day 2024 is finally here. In the extremely close battle for the presidency between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, many voters are following the polls closely.

North Carolina, considered a key state in this election, could go either way, according to many polls. Here’s what the polls say about the Tar Heel State and the entire country.

Who is ahead in the 2024 US presidential polls on Election Day, Tuesday, November 5?

Polls and odds are constantly changing on Election Day. Of course, it is not possible to say for sure which candidate will win until all the votes are counted. Still, many organizations do their best to make predictions through surveys. Here’s what the latest polls show as of 6 a.m. on Election Day, November 5:

ABC News Project 538: The latest poll shows Harris with a 48.0% to 46.8% lead over Trump.
270win: Showing a combination of: latest national pollsHarris currently leads Trump by 1.2 percentage points.
RealClear Survey: Here are the latest betting odds that currently favor Harris to win, with the spread giving her a +.1 advantage. How do rates change? The lead came to Trump at +0.3 on Friday, +0.01 on Monday morning, and an even deadlock broke out on Monday afternoon.
Polimarket: The latest poll shows Trump leading by 61 percent, while Harris is ahead by 39.1 percent.
New York Times: New York Times Election Day polls showed Harris with a 1% lead over Trump nationally.

Who is ahead in the 2024 US presidential polls in NC?

When it comes to NC-specific polls, these numbers represent the most current data:

ABC News Project 538: The latest poll shows Trump with a 48.3% to 47.4% lead over Harris.
270win: The latest composite of national polls gives Trump a 1.3% lead
RealClear Survey: The latest odds show a +1.2 advantage for Trump.
Polimarket: Polymarket polls show Trump at 71 percent and Harris at 30 percent.
New York Times: New York Times Election Day polls showed Trump with a less than 1% lead over Harris.

How have voting numbers changed in the last 10 weeks?

Here’s a breakdown of the results each of these national surveys have reported over the past 10 weeks:

ABC News Project 538

Last week: Harris 48.1%, Trump 46.7%
Two weeks ago: Harris 48.2%, Trump 46.4%
Three weeks ago: Harris 48.5%, Trump 46.1%
Four weeks ago: Harris 48.5%, Trump 45.9%
Five weeks ago: Harris 48.5%, Trump 45.8%
Six weeks ago: Harris 48.3%, Trump 45.6%
Seven weeks ago: Harris 48.3%, Trump 45.3%
Eight weeks ago: Harris 47.1%, Trump 44.4%
Nine weeks ago: Harris 47.1%, Trump 43.9%
Ten weeks ago: Harris 47.0%, Trump 43.7%

270win

Last week: Harris got 0.7% over Trump
Two weeks ago: Harris got 1.8% more votes than Trump
Three weeks ago: Harris got 2.5% more votes than Trump
Four weeks ago: Harris got 2.8% of the vote over Trump
Five weeks ago: Harris got 3.7% over Trump
Six weeks ago: Harris got 3 percent more votes than Trump
Seven weeks ago: Harris got 2.5% of the vote over Trump
Eight weeks ago: Harris gets 0.9% over Trump
Nine weeks ago: Harris got 2.7% over Trump
Ten weeks ago: Harris got 1.9% over Trump

RealClear Survey

Last week: Trump vs. Harris +0.1
Two weeks ago: Harris +0.9 over Trump
Three weeks ago: Harris +1.4 over Trump
Four weeks ago: Harris +2 over Trump
Five weeks ago: Harris +1.8 over Trump
Six weeks ago: Harris +2.3 over Trump
Seven weeks ago: Harris +2 over Trump
Eight weeks ago: Harris +1.1 over Trump
Nine weeks ago: Harris +1.8 over Trump
Ten weeks ago: Harris +1.7 over Trump

Polimarket

Last week: Trump got 33.1% over Harris
Two weeks ago: Trump gets 23% over Harris
Three weeks ago: Trump gets 14.3% over Harris
Four weeks ago: Trump gets 7.5% over Harris
Five weeks ago: Harris gets 2 percent more votes than Trump
Six weeks ago: Harris gets 3 percent more votes than Trump
Seven weeks ago: Harris gets 2 percent more votes than Trump
Eight weeks ago: Harris gets 1 percent more votes than Trump
Nine weeks ago: Trump gets 4% over Harris
Ten weeks ago: Harris got 1 percent more votes than Trump

New York Times

Last week: Harris 49%, Trump 48%
Two weeks ago: Harris 49%, Trump 47%
Three weeks ago: Harris 49%, Trump 47%
Four weeks ago: Harris 49%, Trump 46%
Five weeks ago: Harris 50%, Trump 46%
Six weeks ago: Harris 49%, Trump 47%
Seven weeks ago: Harris 50%, Trump 46%
Eight weeks ago: Harris 49%, Trump 47%
Nine weeks ago: Harris 49%, Trump 46%
Ten weeks ago: Harris 48%, Trump 46%

Presidential historian announced his prediction for 2024

presidential historian Allan LichtmanHe is a 77-year-old distinguished professor of history. American University in Washington DC and Correctly predicted 9 of the last 10 US presidential elections. Lichtman earned his doctorate from Harvard, specializing in modern American history and quantitative methods. He claims to use a Set of 13 “keys” They make their choices on a spectrum ranging from economic indicators to the charisma of the candidates.

Lichtman this year Vice President Kamala Harris is predicted to win 2024 US presidential elections. “I’ve been doing this for 42 years, and every four years I get butterflies in my stomach,” he said. USA TODAY. “I think I have a flock of crows in my stomach this year.”

Are election polls accurate?

The betting favorite only Lost twice since 1866According to Conversation, it is a non-profit news organization.

record in voting This is more difficult because different pollsters asking questions to different audiences can often achieve higher margins of error. According to Pew ResearchConfidence in public opinion polls was damaged by errors in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. In both general elections, many polls underestimated the appeal of Republican Donald Trump.

When will the new president be announced?

High volumes of mail-in ballots, varying state counting procedures and close races in key battleground states could extend the time it takes to determine final results.

Some states have historically required additional time to count votes. specific counting operations and large numbers of mail-in ballots. While in many states early ballot counting cannot begin until Election Day, in some states it can begin as early as 18 days, but the results cannot be announced until the polls close.

It took 35 days to declare the winner of the 2000 presidential election between Democrat Al Gore and Republican George W. Bush — longest wait in modern history.

When will the election results in Northern Cyprus be announced?

The NC Board of Elections announced that early votes and absentee ballots received before Election Day (the majority of votes in NC) will be reported first, with Election Day votes added between 7:30-9:30pm and 8:30pm. -1:00 This accounts for about 98% of the reporting. Provisional ballots, ballots received on Election Day, and ballots left outside voters’ hometowns in areas affected by Tropical Storm Helene will be counted over 10 days, with the official count to be released on November 15.

When is Election Day 2024?

Election Day, or the general election, is today, November 5. In general elections, voters will decide who will fill federal, state and local offices, including the presidency, Congress and the state legislature.