close
close

Semainede4jours

Real-time news, timeless knowledge

    • Election Day 2024 predictions: Who will win tomorrow
    bigrus

    Election Day 2024 predictions: Who will win tomorrow

    Harry Posted on

    play

    One more sleep away Election Day.

    The race for the Oval Office is fierce national polls It shows former President Donald Trump neck-and-neck with Vice President Kamala Harris. in floridaTrump gaining the upper hand over Harris is a completely different story.

    Here’s what surveys and odds Let’s say it now, there is one day left until election day.

    When will the election results be announced?

    Not Election Dayat least not the official results of the presidential election.

    At no time in the history of the country, in any state, has the vote count been completed on Election Day. David Beckerthe executive director of the nonpartisan Center for Election Innovation and Research told USA TODAY.

    When will the election results be announced? What was the situation like in the previous presidential elections?

    Most of the results the public gets on election night come from in-person voting and early in-person voting that day, as well as pre-processed mail ballots in states that allow it to happen. This year, local and state certification deadlines range from November 5th to two days later and more than a month away.

    Things to consider when voting

    According to USA TODAY’s report, the margin of error describes how accurately we can trust that survey results represent the entire population.

    When a candidate’s difference is “within” the margin of error, it is considered a “statistical tie.” Pew Research Center.

    Pew also has It found that the majority of pollsters had changed their methods since the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, when Trump’s performance was significantly underestimated.

    Who is currently ahead in the polls and favored by the odds?

    Polls and odds are constantly changing. These figures are reflected as of 13:00 on Monday, November 4, 2024.

    270 double wins

    270 double winsHarris, a website that offers an interactive map of the Electoral College, currently leads Trump by 1.1%.

    However, Website’s survey for Florida It shows that Trump is ahead of Harris by 7 points.

    ABC News project 538

    ABC News project 538 It shows Harris holding a 47.9% to 47% advantage over Trump.

    According to ABC News, the website provides an up-to-date average for each candidate in the 2024 presidential polls and takes into account each poll’s timeliness, sample size, methodology and institution effects.

    Poll averages are adjusted for state and national polls.

    real open survey

    real open surveyThe website, which shares up-to-date 2024 election polls, shares that the betting odds are currently in Trump’s favor with a difference of +0.1.

    Reuters/Ipsos

    A survey conducted on October 29 Reuters/Ipsos It shows that Harris is 1 point ahead of Trump.

    “Three days of polling completed Sunday showed the race was effectively tied ahead of the Nov. 5 election. The poll had a margin of error of approximately three percentage points in either direction,” the poll said.

    Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research (CPOR)

    How are the polls in Florida? Accordingly Stetson University’s surveyTrump likely has a significant lead over Harris among Florida voters.

    The poll, conducted between October 25 and November 1, revealed that Trump was ahead by 7 points and received the support of 53% of likely voters, compared to 46% for Harris.

    The poll surveyed 452 likely voters and results were weighted by age, ethnicity, race, gender, education, party affiliation and geography to reflect the state’s historical voting patterns. The confidence interval of the survey is +/- 5%.

    Allan Lichtman announces 2024 presidential bid

    Presidential historian Allan Lichtman He is a distinguished professor of history at American University and predicted that Vice President Kamala Harris would win the 2024 presidential election against former President Donald Trump.

    Lichtman uses 13 “keys” to make choices, ranging from economic indicators to candidates’ charisma, according to USA TODAY.

    Lichtman, 77, has correctly predicted the outcome of nearly every election in the last half century, except for the 2000 race in which Republican George W. Bush defeated Democrat Al Gore.

    When is Election Day?

    Election Day is Tuesday, November 5.

    Surveys will be open from 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. in your time zone. Voters still in line at 7 p.m. will be allowed to vote, no matter how long it takes.

    Where to vote in Florida: Where is the 2024 Election Day polling place polling place near me?

    Here is a list of each Florida county and their corresponding voter precinct search links, taken from Voter.org:

    This story was recently updated to correct a typo.

    Contributors: Rachel Barber And Rebecca MorinUSA TODAY

    Harry
    View all posts

    You Might Also Like