As of 4pm ET on Sunday, Invest 97L was as follows: Potential Tropical Cyclone Eighteen. Continuous coverage Potential Tropical Cyclone Eighteen has moved here.

A burgeoning weather disturbance in the Caribbean Sea is increasingly likely to become a problem. tropical depression or tropical storm in the next few days, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC).

called system 97L investment Showers were produced by NHC and storms By Sunday afternoon they were beginning to show signs of organization in the south-central Caribbean Sea.

Gradual development is expected in the coming days, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form as the system moves north toward Jamaica, the Cayman Islands and Cuba, according to the NHC. One Air Force Hurricane Hunter The aircraft was actively searching for Invest 97L on Sunday afternoon.

What is Investing During Hurricane Season?

View of Invest 97L in the Caribbean Sea.
(FOX Weather)

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“Interests in these positions must monitor the progress of this system. Tropical Storm Watches or Warnings It may be necessary today or later tonight,” the NHC said in its latest outlook.

with one subtropical system in the North Atlantic Earning the name Patty on SaturdayIf this disturbance in the Caribbean reaches tropical storm strength, it will be next on the 2024 Atlantic list Raphael.

“There are differences of opinion among them” computer forecasting models As for how strong Rafael will be when it moves towards the Gulf of Mexico. Forecasts are for a low intensity tropical storm, Category 1 hurricane,” FOX Weather Hurricane Expert Bryan Norcross in question. “Flood Rain is possible on the western Caribbean islands Puerto Rico. Rich tropical moisture is predicted to spread from south to north. Florida Peninsula starts on Tuesday.”

Possibility of tropical storm development in the next 10 days.
(FOX Weather)

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Norcross says once the system enters the Gulf, the forecast becomes clouded by weak steering currents that add uncertainty to the forecast.

“Once Rafael most likely reaches the Gulf, steering currents may weaken, meaning the system will move more slowly,” Norcross said. “Reasonable routes for the weekend vary from west to west Mexican or Texas north toward the Florida Panhandle.”

But the storm may still find enemies atmospheric conditions if he tries to approach WEThere is a lot of dry air and unfavorable upper levels in the Gulf of Mexico wind model.

Steering models for the Caribbean tropical system.
(FOX Weather)

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“High-level enemy winds are blowing in the Northern Gulf and Southeast“They will continue unless the long-term computer forecasts are completely wrong,” Norcross added. “The long-range forecasts all have the system significantly weakened before it reaches the Gulf Coast.”

Norcross cautioned that predictions for slow-moving systems are always too skeptical and that it hasn’t occurred yet, so it’s important for U.S. Gulf Coast residents to stay informed throughout the coming week.

BRYAN NORCROSS: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IN THE CARIBBEAN MAY BECOME TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL THIS WEEK

Another disturbance near the Bahamas could merge with Invest 97L

NHC also monitors an area. low pressure near the southeastern Bahamas, but the chances of this system developing over the next few days are low.

A view of an area to monitor near the Bahamas.
(FOX Weather)

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“The patchy disturbance over the Turks and Caicos Islands and the southeastern Bahamas is unlikely to make sense,” Norcross said. “Its moisture is expected to be absorbed by the developing Caribbean system.”

The National Hurricane Center sees a low chance of this system developing into a tropical depression in the next few days. But even if that happens, the expected weather won’t change, Norcross said.

HOW TO WATCH FOX WEATHER

New area to watch emerges in southwest Atlantic Ocean

According to NHC, an area where weather conditions will deteriorate is expected to occur in regions close to the north. Leeward Islands around midweek.

It is possible that this system then developed slowly as it generally moved westward over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean.

Currently, the NHC says the chances of development in the next seven days are low.

A view of an area to watch in the southwestern Atlantic Ocean.
(FOX Weather)

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North Atlantic: Subtropical Storm Patty Getting away from the Azores

in the North Atlantic, Subtropical Storm Roll It was moving away from the Azores on Sunday. It is expected to become a post-tropical cyclone by Sunday night, according to the NHC.

The forecast cone of Subtropical Storm Patty.
(FOX Weather)

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Another 1-2 inches of rain could fall in the Azores by early Monday. Also, Patty faces life-threatening surfing and rip currents to the archipelago.

The remnants of the storm may eventually reach Portugal and the West. Spain earlier this week.