(españo abajo version)

The National Hurricane Center has labeled the erratic system over the Caribbean Sea as Potential Tropical Cyclone 18. This label is given to systems that are still very dispersed but have high potential for further development and strengthening. Most importantly, this label allows the National Hurricane Center to officially issue advisories to warn the public of impending impacts.

This is the same area we have been observing for several days, and Hurricane Hunters are currently investigating it. This system has a good chance of being the next named system of the season. The next name on the list is Rafael.

In the short term, showers can be expected in the central Caribbean islands early in the week as the system moves mostly northward. Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, central Cuba and eventually eastern Cuba will be directly affected by this system.

The Hurricane Center’s initial warning indicates that this system will develop into a tropical storm late Sunday evening or early Monday. Sea surface waters in this part of the Caribbean are still warm and can sustain tropical development. Wind shear should also remain relatively low, which could make this (eventual) tropical storm stronger.

The National Hurricane Center’s official tracking shows the storm gaining hurricane status by Wednesday, approaching eastern Cuba, and emerging into the Gulf of Mexico as a Category 1 hurricane Wednesday night. Of course this will depend on how much terrain interaction the system has. The greater the land friction, the more dents will form on the Gulf. The high pressure system will likely break and open a channel for this system to continue moving northward. Note that this is the turning point that we will be watching closely wherever the high pressure system (the same system that has brought us some pretty nice weather over the last few days) will move eastward and break, creating a path for this system to move northward. .

The American model (GFS) shows this pattern intensifying into a strong tropical system or category 1 hurricane as it approaches Cienfuegos and Matanzas in central Cuba. The European model moves this system more slowly between Sunday and Wednesday. A tropical storm is passing just east of Isla de la Juventud late Tuesday. This shows the system converging over the eastern Gulf of Mexico and remaining there for several days between Wednesday and Friday.

After Friday, the Euro shows that the system is slowly moving westward. At the same time, in the American GFS model, this system is seen as a tropical storm between Louisiana and Mississippi late Friday or Saturday morning. Keep in mind that the water nearshore and slightly further away has been colder over the past few weeks, so water temperatures will greatly weaken any storms approaching the coast or any coast along the Gulf.

We will continue to monitor this system and the rest of the tropics next week. There is a chance that another weak tropical system will follow, moving just north of the Caribbean and possibly increasing moisture over Florida next weekend. It is too far to determine with certainty whether any systems will directly impact Florida, but we will continue to monitor closely.

You can expect an increase in humidity next week, which will mean more rain and storm activity across much of Florida. Winds will shift primarily from the south-southeast, bringing deep tropical moisture moving from south to north across the Peninsula. Higher temperatures are also expected along with high heat indices.

Spanish version below
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Centro Nacional de Huracanes has an unorganized system label like Mar Caribe’s Ciclón Tropical Potencial 18. This tag is a very unorganized system with the potential to generate more and more energy. More importantly, this etiquette allows the Centro Nacional de Huracanes to initiate official promotional activities to publicly announce the impending impacts.

This is the false area where the Huracanes Cazadores are located, having been monitored for various days and currently being surveyed. This system is likely to transform the near system under the name of time. Rafael is the last name on the list.

A corto plazo, the central Caribe islands, can produce torrential rains according to the principles of seman, as this system should be mainly in the north. Jamaica, Las Caimán Island, central Cuba and finally Cuba influence the directives of this system.

The first bulletin of the Huracanes Center shows that this system turned into a thing of beauty overnight, according to tropical torture and lunar principles. The surface waters of the sea in the Caribe area are warm and can soften tropical desarrollo. The surrounding environment needs to be relatively permanent, as this could (eventually) further torment tropical seas.

The Center for Huracanes official report indicates moderate to moderate hurricanes reaching Cuba and emerging as a Category 1 hurricane near the Mexican Golf Course. this system level interaction. The more friction in the level, the more movement the Golfo gets. The high pressure system will likely open a channel for this system to continue moving north. This is an inflection point observed in accordance with the high pressure system (a mismo in recent days with an upgradeable climate) to obtain and develop this system is to create a chamber for this system. I was definitely up north.

The current pattern (GFS) shows this pattern intensifying with an enhanced tropical or category 1 hurricane system reaching Cienfuegos and Matanzas in central Cuba. The European model is a more flexible system in Domingo and Miércoles. Right in the middle of Juventud Island there is a tropical tropical passage with a beautiful March. The system merges with Eastern México Golf and lasts for a day between cities and towns.

Day after day, Europe shows that the system has improved in this way. At the same time, the GFS model is installed in Luisiana and Mississippi with this system, which last turns into a tropical torment in the viernes or mainland. Rescue the water immediately and be sure to arrive at the shore after a longer period of time from the last skies, at greater cost and greater cost, as the water temperature is weak and causes more torment in a large environment. del Golfo.

We are monitoring this system and monitoring the rest of the tropics in the immediate area. There is a possibility that other tropical systems will move north of the Caribbean, possibly increasing the moist environment in Florida into the near end of the sky. The sensitivity of any system that directly impacts Florida is very difficult to determine, but is constantly monitored.

You can expect increased humidity nearby, with more rain expected across much of Florida and increased torture activity. The sun’s heat is a tropical deep moist environment that moves mainly towards the north of the peninsula. Since heat indicators are high, temperatures reach higher values.