With just three days until election day, the presidential race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump It remains extraordinarily tight and is widely considered a throw. However, as of Saturday, rising predictions give Trump a slight advantage in taking over the White House.

The race is based primarily in the seven battleground states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Nevada, Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina. Together, these states hold 93 votes in the Electoral College, with Pennsylvania having the most votes at 19. They could award the election to either candidate to secure the 270 Electoral College votes needed to win.

Overall, some predictions have changed to point to an even tighter race. Below is what various forecasts showed Saturday afternoon, as they are frequently updated with new information such as aggregate polls.

news week He reached out to Harris and Trump’s campaign for comment via email on Saturday.

538 Prediction: Trump

538’s forecast model for Saturday, based on 1,000 simulations, shows the gap between Harris and Trump is much narrower than it was earlier this week.

Latest predictions predict Trump will win the election 50 times out of 100, while Harris will win 49 times.

The pattern continues to tighten the race. Last Saturday, a 10-point difference emerged between the candidates; Trump’s probability of winning the election was 55 percent, and Harris’ probability was 45 percent.

In terms of Electoral College votes current model projects He says Trump will get 270 and Harris will fall just shy of 268. Model shows North Carolina, Georgia and Arizona trending RepublicanMichigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Nevada are “tossed up in the air.”

Economist Forecast: Harris

Harris’ prediction on Saturday Economist He’s up 4 percentage points in Pennsylvania due to new polling that boosts his chances of winning the Keystone State and tilts the odds in his favor over Trump.

In the daily update, Economist “Of the eight pollsters who released polls in Pennsylvania, the average result was a one-point lead for Donald Trump, compared to a one-point lead for Donald Trump in yesterday’s forecast,” he wrote.

On Friday, Marist released a poll of 1,558 registered voters in Pennsylvania that found Harris ahead in the state by 2 percentage points. The poll was conducted between October 27 and 30 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.2 percentage points.

Yesterday, Trump was predicted to win with a 51 percent chance, while Harris had a 48 percent chance. The day before, the two candidates were deadlocked by 50 percent.

Until Saturday, Harris had not led the model since Oct. 19, but now her chances of winning the election rise to 52 percent, compared to Trump’s 48 percent. The model predicts Harris will win 270 Electoral College votes and Trump will win 268 votes.

Silver Bulletin Forecast: Trump

Statistician Nate SilverThe Silver Bulletin forecast, last updated Friday afternoon, shows Harris with a 1 percentage point lead in the popular vote but 8 percentage points behind Trump in the overall forecast.

National aggregate polls measure voter sentiment, but individual states and their Electoral College votes ultimately decide the presidential election, which does not always align with the national popular vote.

Silver puts the probability of Trump winning at 51.1 percent and the probability of Harris winning at 48.5 percent. However, the model shows that Harris is expected to receive 270.9 votes in the Electoral College to Trump’s 267.1 votes.

The forecast on Thursday predicted a larger gap between the two, with Harris having a 46.2 percent chance of winning and Trump having a 53.4 percent chance of winning.

RealClearPolling Forecast: Trump

RealClearPolling’s “states not tossed” prediction shows Trump securing the White House.

As of Saturday, Harris’ 19 votes fell from 270 to 251; this is specifically the amount of votes Pennsylvania’s Electoral College carried.

The model projects Trump securing Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia, Nevada and Arizona, while Harris takes Michigan and Wisconsin. This leaves Trump with 287 votes in the Electoral College.